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- Nidhi Kolhapur
Nidhi Kolhapur
Nidhi is a Certified Digital Marketing Executive and Passionate crypto Journalist covering the world of alternative currencies. She shares the latest and trending news on Cryptocurrency and Blockchain.
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Qadir AKQadir Ak is the founder of Coinpedia. He has over a decade of experience writing about technology and has been covering the blockchain and cryptocurrency space since 2010. He has also interviewed a few prominent experts within the cryptocurrency space.
- Dec 18, 2025 07:53 UTC
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U.S CPI News Today: Could Low Inflation Data Trigger Crypto and Stock Market Rally?
US November CPI at 3.1% or lower could ease Fed fears, weaken the dollar, and spark a bullish move in stocks and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
Hotter CPI data may pressure risk assets, while a softer print could fuel volatility and renewed upside for Bitcoin, Solana, and crypto markets.
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November is set to be released at 8:30 AM ET (7:00 PM IST) today. Analysts expect a headline reading of 3.1% and a core reading of 3.0%, with month-over-month growth projected at around 0.3%.
This CPI release is particularly important as the October report was canceled due to government shutdown-related data disruptions, leaving the Federal Reserve and markets partially in the dark. Investors are closely monitoring services for signs of sustained disinflation and goods to assess remaining tariff-driven price pressures.
Historical Market Reaction
In prior CPI releases, the S&P 500 rose 10 days later in 7 out of 8 cases, with October being the exception due to a hawkish FOMC. With the Fed meeting now behind us and seasonal “Santa rally” tailwinds approaching, markets are generally expected to move higher.
Potential Impact on Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), and other crypto assets are highly sensitive to CPI data due to its influence on liquidity and Fed policy expectations.
Bullish Scenario
- CPI at or below 3.1% could ease Fed concerns
- Likely decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY)
- Increased liquidity may boost crypto prices
Bearish Scenario
- Hotter-than-expected CPI may keep the Fed cautious
- Risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, could face downward pressure
Bitcoin Technical Outlook
Traders expect potential liquidity sweeps and reactions around order blocks. While short-term volatility is likely, the higher timeframe trend for Bitcoin remains cautious, with the CPI data serving as a key near-term catalyst.
If November CPI meets or falls below 3.1%, cryptocurrencies may benefit from renewed bullish momentum alongside stocks. Conversely, a hotter reading could dampen market sentiment. Investors and traders should brace for volatile market reactions following the release.
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FAQs
The US CPI report is released at 8:30 AM ET, which is 7:00 PM IST, and often triggers immediate volatility across global markets.
Lower CPI supports easier liquidity and risk-taking, often boosting crypto prices, while higher CPI can pressure Bitcoin and altcoins.
A higher CPI could keep the Fed cautious, strengthen the dollar, and trigger short-term sell-offs in stocks and cryptocurrencies.
Yes. CPI often sparks sharp moves across markets, with crypto seeing fast price swings before trends stabilize in the following days.
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