Price Analysis
  • Steve Muchoki
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    Steve is a crypto news writer with a passion for decoding market moves. He blends breaking blockchain news with sharp technical analysis and bold price predictions. From Bitcoin rallies to altcoin breakouts, Steve breaks it all down with clarity and insight. Whether you're a trader or just curious, his analysis keeps you ahead of the curve.

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    Bitcoin (BTC) Price Falters as Fed and BoC Hold Interest Rates Steady

    Story Highlights
    • The Bank of Japan will likely follow the Fed and the Bank of Canada in holding its interest rate.

    • The midterm bearish sentiment has persisted amid record-high demand from institutional investors.

    • Bitcoin price has experienced a steady resistance around $120k in the past three weeks.

    Bitcoin (BTC) price has gradually lost its initial July bullish momentum during the past three weeks. The flagship coin has consolidated in a choppy fashion during the past three weeks below $120k amid robust fundamentals, which ordinarily favors bullish sentiment.

    According to market aggregate data from TradingView, BTC price slipped below $117k on Wednesday, resulting in the liquidation of long traders. However, Bitcoinโ€™s OI-weighted funding rate has remained positive in the past 30 days, signaling the existence of macro bullish speculative trading.

    BTC funding rate

    Source: Coinglass

    Bitcoin Price Falters on Uncertainty in Monetary Policy 

    Wednesdayโ€™s 1.4 percent Bitcoin price drop to trade at about $116,246 during the mid-North American session was influenced by the high-impact news from major central banks. As Coinpedia reported, the Fed held its benchmark interest rate at 4.5 percent.

    Earlier on Wednesday, the Bank of Canada held its key interest rate at 2.75 percent. As a result, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to hold its uncollateralized overnight call rate at 0.5 percent on Thursday.

    The crypto market weakened on Wednesday after the Fed confirmed that it will continue to reduce holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgageโ€‘backed securities. The anticipated Quantitative Easing (QE) may not begin potentially until the fourth quarter of 2025, whereby President Donald Trump highlighted that a rate cut could happen.

    Bigger Picture

    The BTC/USD pair in the daily timeframe has signaled bullish sentiment in the long haul despite the midterm capitulation fears. From a technical analysis standpoint, BTC price has formed a bullish flag pattern, which could lead to a breakout towards $130k soon.

    BTC Price analysis

    The macro bullish sentiment is bolstered by the rising demand from corporate investors led by Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR). Additionally, the favorable regulatory outlook in the United States, as observed in the recent approval of in-kind creation and redemption of crypto assets ETPs by the SEC.

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