Monad Price Prediction: Will MON Price Surge or Crash Below $0.01?

Monad’s newly listed token is facing heavy downward pressure as airdrop recipients gain the ability to sell their allocations. With MON now trading close to $0.02, the community is questioning whether the token can stabilize or if more downside is likely. 

A whale who opened a MON long position on October 8 at $0.1449 is now holding a floating loss of more than $700K, and even after closing part of the position earlier, remains deeply in the red. This reflects the overall weakness surrounding the token’s early price action.

Why Is MON Price Falling? 

Market Pressure and Initial Valuation

The public sale price on Coinbase was $0.025, and many traders are using this as a benchmark for fair value. Around 10.8 billion MON were unlocked at launch, representing about 10.8% of the total supply, while the full supply sits at 100 billion tokens. 

This large future supply continues to be one of the main concerns for the market, as more tokens entering circulation usually bring additional selling pressure. 

While Monad has a modest annual inflation rate of about 2% and burns a portion of its transaction fees, the overall supply curve is still a challenge in the short term.

Airdrop Selling and Weak Market Conditions

A major driver behind the decline is the continuous selling by airdrop participants. Many of them are happy to sell between $0.02 and $0.04, which limits any upward momentum. At the same time, the broader crypto market is also pulling back. 

Bitcoin drifting toward $85,000 has created a risk-off mood, and with the holiday season approaching, more traders are locking in liquidity rather than taking new risks. If selling intensifies, analysts warn that MON could slip below $0.02 and possibly retest the $0.01 range.

Sentiment From Pre-Market Trading

Before MON officially went live on exchanges, it traded on derivative and prediction platforms like Hyperliquid at valuations that implied an FDV of around $12–$14 billion. 

Many early analysts believed the token would debut around $0.04 to $0.065, supported by interest around its EVM-compatible performance. 

After the initial hype, some expected a consolidation closer to $0.03 to $0.045, but the current trading level near $0.02 shows that selling pressure has been stronger than anticipated.

Monad Price Prediction

Monad’s chart continues to show weakness, with a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows. Although MON recently moved above the 20-day EMA and is testing the 50-day EMA, analysts still believe there is no strong reversal signal yet. The token pumped briefly during early Hyperliquid trading but corrected sharply afterward. 

With only 10 billion tokens currently in circulation and a market cap near $275 million, the price remains vulnerable to even small increases in sell pressure.

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Despite the rough start, Monad still has long-term potential because it offers a fast Layer-1 chain with EVM compatibility, something that gives it a place among performance-focused blockchains. 

If the ecosystem grows and if developers begin launching dApps on the network, MON could gradually recover. 

Short-Term (1–3 Months)

Monad is likely to stay bearish as airdrop selling continues, keeping pressure on the price.
It may retest $0.01, with only a small bounce toward $0.025–$0.030 if Bitcoin stabilizes.

Mid-Term (3–6 Months)

The outlook becomes neutral to slightly bullish as ecosystem incentives and listings improve activity. MON may trade between $0.025–$0.050, revisiting the public sale zone if demand strengthens.

Long-Term (1–2 Years)

Monad remains high-risk but offers strong upside if adoption grows and real usage increases.
Price could reach $0.10–$0.25, with $0.30–$0.50+ possible in bullish conditions.

However, these outcomes depend heavily on adoption, real activity, and how the ongoing token unlocks are managed.

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