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- Rizwan Ansari
Rizwan Ansari
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Sohrab KhawasSohrab is a passionate cryptocurrency news writer with over five years of experience covering the industry. He keeps a keen interest in blockchain technology and its potential to revolutionize finance. Whether he's trading or writing, Sohrab always keeps his finger on the pulse of the crypto world, using his expertise to deliver informative and engaging articles that educate and inspire. When he's not analyzing the markets, Sohrab indulges in his hobbies of graphic design, minimal design or listening to his favorite hip-hop tunes.
- Feb 21, 2026 10:49 UTC
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Bitcoin Price To Dip $40K By Nov 2026, Here’s Why!
Bitcoin dropped nearly 50% from $126K peak, raising fears of deeper correction ahead.
Historical pattern suggests Bitcoin could fall toward $40K if 70% correction happens again.
Market psychology signals Bitcoin entering fear stage, often seen before final price bottom forms.
Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has been struggling lately to recover after falling from its all-time high of $126K to around $67K, marking nearly a 50% decline.
While crypto traders eagerly wait for the market to recover, historical data suggest that the Bitcoin price will drop to $40K by no 2026.
Let’s see here’s why!
Why Bitcoin Value Could Fall to $40K?
Bitcoin has a history of very deep corrections after reaching new highs. For example, in 2011, BTC value jumped from $1 to $30, only to correct 93% to below $5. In 2015, it fell 85% from $1,100 to $150 after Mt. Gox collapsed.
In 2018, the Bitcoin price further dipped by 84% from $20K to around $3100 as investors booked profits.Â
Similarly, in 2022, BTC fell by 77% from $69K to around $16K after Tesla decided to stop accepting BTC as a payment, which weakened the market confidence.
In this new cycle, Bitcoin already hit a new ATH of $126K in Oct 2025 and is now trading at $67K, down by 50%.
Therefore, if Bitcoin follows its past historical pattern, then BTC will surely dip to 70% from its peak, which will cause the BTC price to reach the $40,000 level.
- Also Read :
- Robert Kiyosaki Buys Another Bitcoin at $67K Here’s Why He’s Bullish Despite Market Weakness
- ,
Market Cycle Predict Bitcoin To Drop To $40K by Nov
Market cycle psychology also supports this bearish outlook. Looking at the Wall Street Cheat Sheet, it shows how Bitcoin moves through emotional stages.
Bitcoin reached a high of $126K during the Euphoria stage, when investors were very excited and expected higher prices. Later, Bitcoin entered the stages of Complacency and Anxiety, where prices dropped, but most thought it was only a normal drop to around $97,620 in Jan 2026.
Currently, Bitcoin is entering the Anger and early Depression stage, where fear, frustration, and heavy selling dominate.
In past cycles, this stage often led to a final bottom, and this time, bitcoin will drop to near $40K, possibly by Nov 2026.
After the bottom forms, Bitcoin usually enters the Disbelief and Recovery stages, where prices slowly rise, and a new bull run begins.
Bitcoin Halving Cycle Could Invalidate Historical Trend
Meanwhile, the Bitcoin halving cycle could change this perspective. Because Bitcoin has always peaked after 12 to 18 months after each halving due to a reduction in supply and rising demand.Â
After the last BTC halving took place in 2024, Bitcoin may soon enter a strong rally phase by mid-2026, which might invalidate this historical trend.
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FAQs
Bitcoin moves in cycles driven by hype and fear. After euphoria peaks, profit-taking and panic selling often trigger deep corrections.
It’s a market psychology model showing stages like Euphoria, Anxiety, and Depression, helping explain Bitcoin’s boom-and-bust price swings.
Bitcoin price prediction 2026 ranges from ~$40K in a deep correction to $100K+ or higher if post-halving demand strengthens.
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