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Vignesh S G
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Sohrab Khawas
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Sohrab is a passionate cryptocurrency news writer with over five years of experience covering the industry. He keeps a keen interest in blockchain technology and its potential to revolutionize finance. Whether he's trading or writing, Sohrab always keeps his finger on the pulse of the crypto world, using his expertise to deliver informative and engaging articles that educate and inspire. When he's not analyzing the markets, Sohrab indulges in his hobbies of graphic design, minimal design or listening to his favorite hip-hop tunes.
- Jun 12, 2025 11:33 UTC
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Bitcoin Bull Run Incoming as BTC CAGR Hits 31%
Bitcoin’s CAGR jumps from 7% to 31% as price rallies 46% in under two months, signaling renewed long-term bullish momentum.
Analyst Axel Adler Jr forecasts BTC could hit $168K by October 2025 if leverage and futures momentum continue.
Bitcoin’s strong performance in April and May has reignited hopes for a major bullish breakout. From April 9 to May 22, the Bitcoin price surged by 46.32%, including an 18.48% rally between May 5 and 22. The price recovery has also pushed its Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) higher, signaling renewed market optimism.
BTC CAGR Spikes as Price Recovers
Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr recently highlighted a notable spike in Bitcoin’s 4-year CAGR. In April 2025, it had dropped to just 7%, reflecting Bitcoin’s volatile start to the year. In January, BTC grew by 9.54%, but the following months saw sharp declines—down 17.5% in February and 2.19% in March. The price even touched a low of $74,446.79 in April.
However, the market rebounded strongly. By June 2025, Adler reports that Bitcoin’s CAGR climbed back to 31%.
“This sharp rebound shows how quickly the long-term trend can shift when strong buyer momentum enters the market,” Adler stated.
Yet, he notes that 31% CAGR is still below historical bull market peaks, implying more room for growth.
$168K BTC by October?
Axel Adler Jr forecasts a possible Bitcoin price target of $168,000 by October 2025, assuming momentum in the futures market and leverage continues.
He bases this projection on accelerating growth and historical patterns observed during prior bull runs.
Adjusting for Risk: CAGR vs. Standard Deviation
In the discussion thread, X user Manu suggested a more refined way to interpret CAGR—by dividing it by the standard deviation to eliminate volatility and highlight risk-adjusted returns.
Adler agreed with the approach, stating it offers a cleaner view of market performance, but also emphasized another critical point:
“The real inflection point comes when investors start taking profits based on expected returns.”
According to him, the risk of a bear market grows once BTC trading volume crosses 1 million coins, as large-scale profit-taking can disrupt supply-demand balance.
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FAQs
As per Coinpedia’s BTC price prediction, the Bitcoin price could peak at $168k this year if the bullish sentiment sustains.
With increased adoption, the price of Bitcoin could reach a height of $901,383.47 in 2030.
As per our latest BTC price analysis, Bitcoin could reach a maximum price of $13,532,059.98
Yes 
No 
