
Bitcoin may finally be entering the last stage of its bear market. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost has identified a rare on chain signal that has appeared before every major Bitcoin rally.
With Bitcoin staying above key support even after heavy selling, investors are now watching for the next big breakout.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost says Bitcoin has flashed a rare end of bear market signal, indicating that the market is entering its final bearish phase before a possible trend reversal.
The signal appeared after Bitcoin’s Short Term Holder (STH) cost basis crossed below the Long Term Holder (LTH) cost basis, with a required three day confirmation window now completed.
Historically, this has marked the beginning of the final phase of a Bitcoin bear market before a new bull cycle starts.
But Darkfost says that, “This doesn’t mean the bear market ends the moment the signal fires”, “It simply shows we are entering its final phase.”
Meanwhile,this is the best opportunity for investors who use a Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy.
According to Darkfost analysis, short term holders (STH) are investors who bought Bitcoin within the last six months, while long-term holders (LTH) have held their coins for more than six months.
During the recent price drop, newer investors kept buying Bitcoin, which lowered their average buying price.
Because of this, the STH cost basis dropped from about $112,500 to around $69,000, moving below the active long-term holders’ cost basis and triggering the rare market signal.
According to Darkfost, the next bull run is likely to begin when new investors start buying Bitcoin at higher prices than long-term holders. In the past, this has often been a sign that strong market momentum is returning.
Nearly three weeks ago, Bitcoin recovered from a low of $57,747 and has continued moving higher.
Even after Michael Saylor’s Strategy sold 3,588 BTC worth about $216 million to fund dividend payments, Bitcoin did not fall below $60,000. This suggests buyers are strongly defending that price level.
Now, analysts are closely watching $67,248, which is the next major resistance. If Bitcoin breaks above this level, it could strengthen the case for a bigger bullish move.
As of now, bitcoin is trading around $63,947 relfecitng a jumpe o 1.4% seen in the last 24 hours.
CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.
All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.
Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.
OKX and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) are facing growing opposition to their planned tokenized stock exchange,…
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said gloomy narratives about crypto keep surfacing, but the industry has…
Stellantis stock jumped about 12% in early New York trading on Wednesday after the Jeep…
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said the global economy no longer runs on a nine-to-five schedule,…
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said the GENIUS Act marked a turning point for many financial…
Nelson Peltz wants Wendy’s back. His firm, Trian Fund Management, has offered $7.35 a share…