XRP FUD Hits 2-Year Extreme — Is a 15% Relief Rally Setting Up?

The XRP price has been stuck in a strong bearish structure for the past few weeks. After weeks of consolidation, the price has flashed a rare signal that may trigger a ‘relief rally’ soon. The market data suggests the token has dropped to a historical bearish zone in the past two years, which is believed to attract 10% to 15% gains in the coming days. 

XRP Sentiment Chart Signals Extreme Fear — A Classic Contrarian Setup

The latest Santiment data around XRP shows a clear shift into extreme fear, with the positive-to-negative commentary ratio near 1.02 bullish vs. 1.00 bearish. This marks one of the top three FUD spikes in the past two years, placing XRP deep in the historical “fear zone.” Similar readings—0.96 in February 2025 and 1.01 in October 2025—were followed by short-term rebounds. At the same time, XRP has dropped from around $3.40 to $1.32, highlighting a sharp decline in confidence and increasingly crowded bearish positioning.

However, sentiment alone isn’t enough. XRP is now trading near key support at $1.10–$1.12, with resistance around $1.80, while momentum remains weak. If support holds, the setup could trigger a 15%–30% relief rally toward $1.50–$1.80. But if it breaks, the downside could extend toward $0.95 or lower. This makes the current setup less about prediction and more about reaction—sentiment creates the opportunity, but price confirms it.

XRP Price Analysis: Structure is Weak But Approaching a Reaction Zone

The weekly chart of XRP price reflects a clear shift from expansion to correction, with the price dropping from highs near $3.40 to around $1.32. The price recently broke below the $1.80 support zone, which has now flipped into resistance. It continues to hover just above a critical demand area near $1.10–$1.12. This positioning places XRP in a high-risk zone, where the next move will likely be decisive rather than gradual.

The MACD remains in a bearish crossover and continues to trend below the zero line, signaling sustained downside pressure, while the RSI sits near 32–33, approaching oversold conditions. This combination suggests that while the broader trend is still bearish, selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion. If XRP holds above the $1.10 support, a relief bounce toward $1.50–$1.80 (15%–30%) becomes possible. However, a breakdown below this level would likely open the door for a deeper move toward $0.95 or lower, confirming continuation rather than reversal.

Wrapping it Up—Here’s What to Expect Next?

Price has corrected sharply from $3.40 to ~$1.32, sentiment is at extreme fear levels, and momentum remains weak. But this is exactly where markets tend to make their next move—not gradually, but decisively.

The token is not in a clean bullish setup, but it’s in a reaction zone under pressure. The opportunity exists but only if the XRP price gives a confirmation. Until then, it could remain under a high-risk and wait-for-confirmation zone.