Will XRP Price Drop to $0.75 Before Recovery?

The XRP price is caught in a strange tug-of-war right now and honestly, it’s the kind of setup that rarely ends quietly.

Funding rates tell the first part of the story. They’ve been negative for a while now, and not just mildly. We’re talking deep dips to -0.01 and even -0.02. Shorts are firmly in control, and long traders are getting paid to stay in the game. Structurally, it screams bearish positioning.

Negative Funding Rates Signal Strong Bearish Market Positioning Structure

But, the XRP price is sitting around $1.32, continuing its pattern of lower highs and lower lows. Normally, that aligns neatly with bearish sentiment. Except this time, the decline isn’t being driven by organic spot selling but it’s majorly being fueled by leveraged short positions.

That’s a subtle but important difference. The analyst PelinayPA’s post suggests fragility. Because when shorts dominate too much, the market becomes vulnerable to sharp reversals.

ETF Inflows Rise While Price Continues Weak Downtrend

Also, during March 23–27, XRP ETFs saw a +2.66 million inflow. Institutional money is stepping in. Quietly, but clearly. So, what gives? Why is price still dropping?

Simple. Divergence. While institutions accumulate, the broader market continues to lean short. 

That disconnect creates a scenario where a sudden upward move could trigger a cascade of short liquidations. But don’t get too comfortable. If that squeeze happens, it could be met with aggressive spot selling from those same institutional players locking in gains. In other words, volatility isn’t just possible but it’s likely.

Liquidity Collapse Across XRPL Signals Potential Market Breakdown Ahead

And then there’s the liquidity problem. AMM pool liquidity on the XRP Ledger has shrunk to $1.9 million, hovering near levels last seen before a previous major rally. But the context now feels different. Instead of building momentum, liquidity is stuck in a 30-day flatline.

DEX liquidity tells an even harsher story. From a peak of $280 billion post-ETF hype, it has collapsed to $104.2 billion. That’s not a cooldown it’s a retreat.

Add to that rising whale-to-exchange transactions through February and March, and it starts to look less like accumulation and more like distribution. Big players appear to be positioning for exits, not entries.

So, what’s next? The XRP price could be heading toward a deeper flush, with potential downside targets in the $0.90–$0.75 range. Not pretty but consistent with the current setup.

And yet, if price starts climbing while funding stays negative, that’s when things flip fast. Until then, every bounce might just be another trap in disguise for the XRP price.