Price Analysis
  • Shayan Chowdhury
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    Shayan is a digital nomad and a professional journalist. He delivers high-quality engaging articles to Coinpedia through his in-depth research and analysis.

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Ethereum Hits Key Resistance Line: Will Bulls Break Through or Face Rejection?

  • currency-symbol ETH $ 1,638.25 (-1.49%) top looser
Story Highlights
  • Ethereum price climbs 6%, but whale interest drops as large transactions fall from $9.8B to $2.75B, hinting at fading momentum.

  • ETH aims to break resistance near $1,640; RSI signals strength but risks remain if price slips below key support at $1,384.

Ethereum has seen strong buying interest recently after breaking through some key resistance levels. Its market dominance is growing, especially now that Bitcoin has bounced back above $85,000. On top of that, several on-chain indicators are showing positive signs, suggesting growing bullish momentum as Ethereum moves near a descending resistance line. However, a drop in whale interest might change the forecast.

Ethereumโ€™s Large Transaction Volume Declines

Ethereum has seen growing buying interest recently, with its price rising nearly 6% over the past week. According to data from Coinglass, about $82.8 million worth of trading positions in Ethereum were liquidated, with buyers losing around $43.5 million and sellers about $39.2 million.

Last week, ETH dropped to its lowest point since March 2023. However, a pause in tariffs helped the price recover slightly. Still, this recovery hasnโ€™t been enough to boost investor confidence. Glassnode data shows that the number of wallets holding at least $1 million worth of ETH has dropped significantly this year, hitting the lowest level since January 2023. This points to a decline in interest from wealthier investors.

According to data from IntoTheBlock, the volume of large Ethereum transactions has dropped significantly. Whale activity has fallen from a peak of $9.81 billion to just $2.75 billion, showing a clear decline in interest from big investors. Recent activity supports this trendโ€”on April 14, a whale moved 20,000 ETH (worth about $32.4 million) to the Kraken exchange, likely in preparation for selling.

Adding to the pressure, an on-chain analyst reported that an early investor from Ethereumโ€™s 2015 ICO has been consistently selling. On April 13, this whale sold 632 ETH, worth around $1 million.

Meanwhile, market sentiment remains mixed, and Ethereumโ€™s open interest (the total value of outstanding derivatives contracts) has dropped by 1.16%, now sitting around $17.91 billion. This dip in open interest could slow down Ethereumโ€™s recovery and increase the chances of a short-term pullback.

Whatโ€™s Next for ETH Price?

Ether has bounced back from the key $1,500 level, as sellers are struggling to push the price any lower. Buyers are now focused on keeping the price above a descending resistance line to strengthen the current bullish momentum. At the moment, ETH is trading around $1,640, up more than 2% in the past 24 hours.

The moving averages are pointing upward, and the RSI is in positive territoryโ€”both signs that buyers currently have the advantage. If they can keep the price above the descending resistance line, ETH might make a strong move toward the important $2,000 level in the coming hours.

On the other hand, if sellers want to regain control, theyโ€™ll need to push the price below the EMA20 trend line. If that happens, Ether could drop toward $1,384โ€”a key support level. A break below that could signal a short-term shift in momentum in favor of the bears.

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