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- Anjali Belgaumkar
Anjali Belgaumkar
Writer by choice, CryptoCurrency Writer, and Researcher by chance. Currently, focusing on financial news and analysis, as well as cryptocurrency news and data. One may not call me a crypto “Enthusiast” but trust me I'm getting there.
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Qadir AKQadir Ak is the founder of Coinpedia. He has over a decade of experience writing about technology and has been covering the blockchain and cryptocurrency space since 2010. He has also interviewed a few prominent experts within the cryptocurrency space.
- Oct 01, 2025 04:27 UTC
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Why is The Crypto Market Going Down Today?
Crypto market dips as U.S. government shutdown fears rise; Bitcoin holds $114K, XRP at $2.83, analysts eye volatility before Q4 rebound.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP face volatility as U.S. shutdown looms; $300M liquidations add pressure ahead of key monthly and quarterly closes.
The global cryptocurrency market cap stands at $3.9 trillion, down 0.41% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin trades around $114,477, showing little change but struggling to build momentum. Ethereum is at $4,148, down slightly, while XRP trades at $2.83. Most of the top altcoins are in the red, with Solana, BNB, and Dogecoin posting small declines.
The U.S. Government Shutdown Factor
The main pressure point today comes from Washington. The U.S. government faces a potential shutdown with betting markets giving it an 86% probability. Political gridlock over budget approvals has unsettled investors, creating risk-off behavior across financial markets, including crypto.
Historically, shutdowns have limited direct economic impact. Essential services like the military and air traffic control continue, but uncertainty often drives short-term volatility. Analysts expect headlines to dominate the next 48 hours, pushing both Bitcoin and altcoins into sharp intraday swings.
- Also Read :
- Top Altcoins To Buy During The US Government Shutdown
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End of Month and Quarter Closes
The timing adds further stress. Markets are closing out both the monthly and quarterly cycles, which often brings increased volatility. September has a history of weakness for Bitcoin and crypto markets, and this year has followed the same pattern.
Still, seasonal data shows that October and November are usually stronger months. Bitcoin has averaged a 19% gain in October and a 43% gain in November in past cycles. Bulls argue that today’s pullback could set the stage for a Q4 rebound if seasonal trends hold.
Liquidations and Trading Flows
Data shows nearly $300–400 million in liquidations in the last two days, mostly from leveraged short positions. Exchange volumes remain lower than earlier in the year, a sign that big buyers are sitting on the sidelines until political risk clears.
Altcoins are mixed. Solana and BNB have seen some inflows tied to activity on decentralized exchanges, while XRP remains heavily traded following ETF speculation earlier this month.
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FAQs
The crypto market dipped 0.41% to $3.9T due to U.S. government shutdown fears, with an 86% chance causing investor caution and volatility.
A potential U.S. shutdown creates uncertainty, driving short-term Bitcoin price swings, though essential services continue, limiting broader impact.
Bitcoin may rebound in October, historically gaining 19% on average, as seasonal trends suggest stronger performance in Q4.
Volatility stems from a possible U.S. government shutdown, end-of-month/quarter closings, and $300–400M in liquidations from leveraged shorts.
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