
Both the S&P 500 and cryptocurrency markets have experienced substantial losses in recent months.
Beyond trade war concerns, a rapid shift from "extreme greed" to "extreme fear" is identified as a major driver of the sell-offs.
Hedge fund adjustments, tech stock reductions, and strategic shorting of Ethereum by institutional investors contributed to the crash.
Over the past month, the S&P 500 has dropped by 7.13%, while the cryptocurrency market has fallen by 17.09%. Many believe this decline is due to US President Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Donald J. Trump is a US-based entrepreneur, Pro-crypto Politician, and the 45th and 47th President of the United States of America. He understands the importance and needs of the modern fintech world, and people look up to him as a dominant pro-crypto leader.
Quick Facts
Full name Donald John Trump Birth 14-06-1946, New York, United States Nationality American Education BS from the University of Pennsylvania Known For Businessman, Pro-Crypto Politician
Once doubtful about Bitcoindominance, he said in a tweet in 2019, “I am not a fan of Bitcoin", but now has a significant amount of cryptocurrency holdings in his kitty. He has also signed an Executive Order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, which highlights his commitment to the future of cryptocurrency.
Donald Trump - Career Highlights & Events
2016 – Elected as the 45th President of the United States from the Republican Party. 2017 – Signed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, impacting investment environments 2019 – Criticized Bitcoin and Libra on X, dubbing them as "not money" 2024 – Campaign signals potential openness to crypto-friendly reforms 2025 – Elected as the 47th President of the United States from the Republican Party.
A meme coin, $TRUMP, is associated with Donald Trump, which is listed on the Solana blockchain platform. His family also backs World Liberty Financial (WLF), a crypto venture.
President โs decision to impose tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. But is that really the full story?
A deeper analysis suggests something bigger is at playโsomething that has erased trillions of dollars from the markets in just weeks. The Kobeissi Letter points to a major shift in sentiment that may be driving this downturn more than any policy decision.
Could fear, not fundamentals, be the real reason behind the sell-off? Letโs break it down.
$5.5 Trillion in Market Value Wiped Out
On January 10, the total crypto market cap stood at $3.23 trillion, while the S&P 500 index was at 5,828.54. Since then, the crypto market has fallen by 20.12%, and the S&P 500 has declined by 3.67%.
The Kobeissi Letter reports that in just the past two months, both markets have lost a combined $5.5 trillion. Most of these losses came after February 20, with the S&P 500 alone shedding $4.5 trillion in market value.
On February 20, the S&P 500 was trading at 6,133.58. Since then, it has dropped by 8.46%. The crypto market has fallen even further, down 18.86% during the same period.
Trade War Is Just a Scapegoat
While concerns over a trade war were already known, analysts argue that the sudden shift in market sentiment has played a bigger role in this sell-off.
Investor sentiment has taken a sharp turn. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which measures market sentiment, now stands at 24โfar below the 82 recorded a year ago. On November 22, 2024, the index peaked at 94, but by February 27, it had plunged to just 10.
This dramatic shift from extreme greed to extreme fear has fueled the sell-off, according to market experts.
Hedge Funds Reduce Exposure, Ethereum Gets Shorted
Hedge funds had already been reducing their exposure to tech stocks, hitting a 22-month low before the recent market drop. Year-to-date returns for major tech stocks show steep losses:
- Apple (AAPL): -4.85%
- Microsoft (MSFT): -9.81%
- Nvidia (NVDA): -20.34%
- Broadcom (AVGO): -20.44%
- Oracle (ORCL): -10.71%
At the same time, reports suggest institutional investors shorted Ethereum on February 9, just before the crypto market crash. On that day, ETH was trading at $2,624.48. Since then, it has fallen by 28%, including an 8.1% drop in just the last 24 hours.
Whatโs Next? More Volatility Ahead
Another sign of market stress is the VIX index, which tracks volatility. It has surged by 70% over the past month, indicating that uncertainty remains high.
For now, the market decline seems to be driven more by fear than by actual economic fundamentals. Traders watching shifts in sentiment could have an advantage in navigating these price swings. With volatility at extreme levels, more big moves are likely in the days ahead.
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FAQs
Crypto prices are falling due to market fear, institutional sell-offs, and a shift in sentiment, triggering widespread liquidations.
Hedge funds reduced tech stock exposure, and reports indicate institutions shorted Ethereum before the crypto market’s major decline.