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    • 2 minutes read

    Tom Lee Says Bitcoin, Ethereum, and NASDAQ 100 Are Set to Soar After Fed Rate Cuts

    Story Highlights
    • The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates this week

    • Fundstrat’s Tom Lee identifies Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the NASDAQ 100 as the top “standout trades” likely to benefit from the rate cut.

    • Lee also points to interest-rate-sensitive sectors, like small caps and financials.

    The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates this week. Experts and market watchers are closely watching to see how this could impact stocks, cryptocurrencies, and broader economic trends.

    In an interview with CNBC, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee highlighted which sectors could benefit significantly from the Fed’s move.

    Lee pointed to historical patterns, and said that he is looking at September ’98 and September 2024 as the playbook, as those were the years where the Fed was on extended pause and then cut in September. 

    “The Standout Trades”

    His top pick is the NASDAQ 100: “That’s why the MAG 7 and the AI trade gets a lot of liftoff,” he said. Secondly, he highlighted cryptocurrency, pointing out the impact of global central bank easing. “That’s Bitcoin and Ethereum and seasonally strong. I think they could make a monster move in the next three months.”

    He also mentioned interest-rate-sensitive sectors, saying that small caps and financials could also benefit from the rate cuts. However, he emphasized that NASDAQ 100 and crypto, might be the standout trades.

    Trump Calls For Bigger Rate Cut

    Despite repeated calls from President Trump, the Fed takes a cautious, wait-and-watch approach to assess the impact of higher tariffs on the economy. In a recent post on Truth Social, President Trump yet again called out Fed Chair Jerome Powell to implement a “bigger” and immediate interest rate cut, citing the housing market as a key reason.

    How Markets Could React

    The Fed is expected to cut rates on Wednesday for the first time in 2025, citing a weakening labor market, even as GDP growth remains strong and inflation stays hot.

    The Kobeissi letter notes that this is a rare scenario, just the third time since 1996 that rate cuts coincide with the S&P 500 at record highs, which has historically led to strong gains over the following year. 

    While short-term volatility is possible, the combination of lower rates, robust growth, and the ongoing AI-driven technological revolution is expected to fuel long-term gains in stocks, gold, and Bitcoin.

    Bitcoin Braces for Volatility

    According to Investor Ted Pillows, the Fed is set to cut rates in just two days, and analysts like JP Morgan expect the market to see a short-term dip before bouncing back.

    For Bitcoin, there are two possible scenarios: it could drop to around $104,000 before reversing, or fall further to $92,000, which aligns with a CME gap, before making a push toward a new all-time high.

    Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

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    FAQs

    How do Fed rate cuts affect cryptocurrency?

    Fed rate cuts typically boost risk-on assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Lower borrowing costs encourage investment, potentially fueling significant price rallies in crypto markets over the following months.

    Which sectors benefit most from Federal Reserve rate cuts?

    According to analysts, the NASDAQ 100 (especially tech/AI stocks) and cryptocurrencies are standout beneficiaries, while small-cap stocks and financials also tend to perform well.

    Why is the Fed cutting rates if inflation is still high?

    The Fed is responding to a weakening labor market despite strong GDP growth. This rare scenario of cutting rates amid record stock highs has historically led to strong market gains.

    What is the short-term outlook for Bitcoin after the Fed meeting?

    Analysts expect potential short-term volatility, with possible dips toward $104,000 or even $92,000, before a likely reversal toward new all-time highs fueled by lower rates.

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