Veteran analyst Peter Brandt identifies a bearish "head and shoulders" pattern in XRP's price chart.
XRP's price is currently fluctuating, with key support at $1.9 and resistance at $3, determining if the bearish pattern holds or is invalidated.
Economic factors, including upcoming tariffs and potential Fed interest rate decisions, add further uncertainty.
Veteran market analyst Peter Brandt has spotted a troubling pattern in XRPโs price chartโa head and shoulders top. This pattern is known for signaling a major downturn, and Brandt warns that unless XRP makes a strong recovery, it could drop back to its lowest levels from November 2024.
With XRP struggling to find direction and key support levels now in focus, the next move could be critical. Will the bulls push past resistance, or is a deeper crash on the horizon? Hereโs what the charts – and the broader market – are saying.
XRP Struggles to Find Direction
Since early March, XRP has not shown a clear upward or downward trend. The price has moved both ways, but overall, it remains bearish. Brandt commented
โThis could become bullish if 3.0 is exceeded, otherwise the implications is a decline to 1.07,โ he noted.
After trading sideways for over a month, XRP bounced back and hit a seven-year high of $3.4 in mid-January 2025, forming the head of the pattern. However, it struggled to break above this level and eventually dropped along with the broader market.
A fresh rally followed when President Trump announced that XRP would be part of the U.S. crypto reserve. This pushed the price back up to $3 on March 2, forming the right shoulder of the pattern.
Key Levels to Watch
Now, the key level to watch is the neckline, which sits between $1.9 and $2. If XRP stays above this level, the pattern could be invalidated. But if it breaks below, a deeper decline might follow.
Is XRP Headed for a Major Drop?
Brandt, who has been critical of XRP in the past, recently referred to it as a โpet rock.โ Despite his bearish stance, he acknowledged that a break above $3 would shift the outlook in a bullish direction. However, if the head and shoulders pattern plays out, XRP could drop to $1.07, a level last seen in November 2024.
Previously, Brandt warned that if XRP falls below $1.9, it could trigger a sharper decline. Right now, XRP is trading at $2.16, down 6.12% in the past 24 hours. If it drops another 12%, it will test the crucial $1.9 support level. Some analysts believe XRP will remain bullish as long as it stays above $2.
Economic Factors That Could Impact XRP
Beyond technical analysis, broader economic conditions could also influence XRPโs price. The upcoming 25% tariffs on car imports, set to take effect on April 3 under Trumpโs trade policies, could increase manufacturing costs and drive inflation higher.
At the same time, the CME FedWatch Tool shows that the chances of an interest rate cut in June have dropped to 55.7% from 67.3% last week. If the Federal Reserve keeps rates high for longer, liquidity in speculative markets could shrink, which may negatively impact assets like XRP.
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Whatโs Next for XRP?
With XRP hovering near key support levels, traders are watching closely. A break above $3 could spark renewed bullish momentum, while a drop below $1.9 could confirm Brandtโs bearish prediction. With both technical and economic factors in play, XRPโs next move could be critical for investors.
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With so many forces pulling at XRP, the next few weeks could either rewrite its bullish story or confirm its worst fears.