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- Zafar Naik
Zafar Naik
- Reviewed by:
Qadir AKQadir Ak is the founder of Coinpedia. He has over a decade of experience writing about technology and has been covering the blockchain and cryptocurrency space since 2010. He has also interviewed a few prominent experts within the cryptocurrency space.
- Mar 25, 2026 09:38 UTC
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Over 50% of Pump.fun Traders Lost Money This Month, While 2 Wallets Made Over $1M
Analytics data shows over 50% of Pump.fun traders ended this month in losses.
Only 2 wallets crossed $1 million in realized profit.
Pump.fun has responded with fee model changes and expansion beyond memecoins.
Two wallets made over $1 million on Pump.fun this month. What happened to everyone else is a different story.
New data from Dune Analytics tracking this month’s trader profit and loss on Pump.fun tokens has circulated widely on X, and the numbers are drawing attention for the stark picture they paint of memecoin trading outcomes.
What the Data Shows
Of the wallets tracked this month, over 50% ended in losses. The largest single group – 671,376 wallets – lost less than $500. Another 9,160 wallets lost between $1,000 and $10,000.
On the profitable side, 626,417 wallets made between $0 and $500. That is technically a win, but a small one. When you combine wallets that lost money with wallets that made under $500 in profit, the figure reaches approximately 96% of all participants – meaning only 4% made more than $500 this month. Only 2 wallets crossed $1 million in realized profit.
The Platform’s Position
While trader outcomes have been mixed, Pump.fun itself has accumulated over $500 million since 2024 – a figure that reflects the platform’s fee structure rather than trading performance. Like any exchange, Pump.fun earns on volume regardless of whether individual traders profit or lose.
That structural difference between platform economics and trader economics is what makes the Dune data worth understanding clearly.
Analyst commentary on X has suggested that the 4% of profitable wallets may skew toward insiders and early deployers who hold informational advantages over retail participants. That argument remains contested and is not confirmed by the on-chain data alone.
Why the Losses Run So Deep
Part of the answer lies in token quality. Research from Solidus Labs found that approximately 98.6% of tokens on Pump.fun have collapsed to below $1,000 in liquidity, effectively becoming worthless after launch. Of the over 7 million tokens deployed on the platform with at least five trades, only around 97,000 maintain enough liquidity to be meaningfully traded.
With hundreds of thousands of new tokens created each month, the odds facing any individual trader are structurally challenging regardless of skill or timing.
Pump.fun has acknowledged the imbalance.
In January 2026, founder Alon Cohen returned after two months of silence to announce Creator Fee Sharing – a system allowing creators to distribute fees more transparently and customize fee structures post-launch.
In March, the platform expanded beyond memecoins entirely, adding support for WBTC, USDC and other assets, alongside a Trader Cashback model that redirects a portion of trading fees toward active traders rather than solely to deployers. The changes signal the platform is aware of the incentive misalignment its own data reflects.
How to Read This Data
Before drawing firm conclusions, it is worth noting what the data does not capture.
Realized PnL only reflects positions that have been closed. Traders still holding tokens with unrealized gains will not appear as profitable in this dataset. Additionally, a significant portion of wallets on Pump.fun are estimated to be bots or wallets created for a single transaction, which can distort the overall picture.
What It Means for Traders
Memecoin trading on launchpad platforms has always carried high risk. What makes this month’s data notable is the scale – hundreds of thousands of wallets active, most walking away with losses or negligible gains, while a handful of participants captured the overwhelming majority of returns.
Whether that reflects the nature of speculative markets broadly, or something specific to how memecoin launchpads are structured, is a question the data raises without fully answering.
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FAQs
PUMP is projected to trade between $0.012 and $0.023 in 2026, with an average near $0.019 if buybacks and adoption remain strong.
Current models suggest Pump.fun could reach around $0.005–$0.006 by 2030, but growth depends heavily on adoption, token utility, and market conditions.
PUMP.fun may suit high-risk, long-term investors who believe in creator-driven crypto platforms, but price depends on real usage, not short-term hype.
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