
Key US economic indicators this week, including retail sales, housing starts, and jobless claims, will provide signals about the economy.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, expected to remain unchanged, will be closely watched for future policy hints.
Multiple indexes released on Thursday, including Existing Home Sales and the Fed Manufacturing Index, are forecast to decline.
This week, several key economic events in the US could shape market trends and investor sentiment. From retail sales and housing data to jobless claims and the Federal Reserveโs interest rate decision, these reports will offer crucial insights into the state of the economy.
Why does this matter? Because shifts in economic indicators donโt just affect traditional markets – they impact crypto too! A strong economy could fuel investor confidence, while signs of slowdown might trigger uncertainty.
Prime US Economic Events This Week
US Retail Sales Index โ Monday
The US Retail Sales Index, set for release on Monday, measures the total sales of retail goods and services over a month.
In January, it dropped from 0.7% to -0.9%. The consensus expects that it would rise from -0.9% to 0.7%. According to TEForecast, the index would climb to 0.5%.
An increase in retail sales usually signals a strong economy, boosting investor confidence and encouraging riskier investments like cryptocurrencies. However, if consumer spending is too strong, the Federal Reserve may take a stricter stance on interest rates, which could negatively impact the crypto market.
US Housing Starts Index โ Tuesday
The Housing Starts Index, coming out on Tuesday, tracks the number of new residential construction projects that begin each month.
In January, the index fell from 1.515 million to 1.366 million. The consensus forecast predicts a slight increase to 1.375 million, while TEForecast expects a further decline to 1.34 million.
A rise in housing starts signals economic growth and can boost investor confidence. However, if construction activity increases too much, it may push interest rates higher, making borrowing more expensive and potentially slowing down crypto investments.
US Initial Jobless Claims โ Thursday
The Initial Jobless Claims report, scheduled for Thursday, tracks the number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time.
In the second week of March, it slipped from 222K to 220K. The consensus estimates that it would grow sharply from 220K to 224K. As per TEForecasts, it would reach as high as 225K.
Higher jobless claims indicate economic weakness, which can lower investor confidence. However, a weakening labor market may also delay interest rate hikes, which could support crypto prices in the short term.
US Existing Home Sales โ Thursday
The Existing Home Sales Index, also releasing on Thursday, measures the number of homes sold where the mortgage has been finalized.
In January, home sales fell from 4.29 million to 4.08 million. Analysts expect another drop to 3.92 million.
A drop in US existing home sales signals economic slowdown. It may also suggest lower consumer spending. This could affect crypto market sentiment adversely.
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index โ Thursday
The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, based on a survey of manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District, is set for release on Thursday.
In February, the index dropped from 44.3 points to 18.1 points. Analysts expect it to fall further to 12.1 points, while TEForecast predicts a decline to 11 points.
A shrinking manufacturing index indicates economic contraction and could lead to a more cautious market, affecting investment in both traditional and digital assets.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision โ Wednesday
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet on Tuesday, with its decision on interest rates expected on Wednesday.
Most experts believe the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged for now. Recently, Fed Chair Jerome Powell
Jerome Powell Jerome Hayden "Jay" Powell is an American attorney and investment banker who has served since 2018 as the 16th chair of the Federal Reserve Finance suggested that the central bank is taking a cautious “wait-and-see” approach, as many economic factors remain uncertain.
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