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Ethereum Signals Bullish Reversal via Key MVRV Metric

Published by
Steve Muchoki

The daily Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio of Ethereum (ETH) has decisively crossed above its 160-day Simple Moving Average. Known as a Golden Cross, the move signals the end of ETH’s capitulation phase, and the beginning of a bullish reversal.

Source: X

Ethereum Golden Cross and bullish supporters

In the past three years, a Golden Cross preceded major ETH recoveries as the accumulation regime overpowered distribution. This was seen in early 2023, late 2023-Q1 2024, Q2 2024 and Q3 2024 where the price of ETH surged by 50%, 166%, 74% and 113% respectively.

Data also reveals renewed institutional engagements, with the past week marking the third consecutive week of spot Ethereum ETFs inflows. That week brought in $103.9 million, bringing July’s total net inflows to $337.74 million.

In the same week, Bitmine, the largest public Ethereum treasury firm, purchased over 9,900 ETH. This contributed to the coin’s 27% hike in the past month. 

Even more, whales have been aggressively accumulating the digital asset since June. Wallets of mid-tier whales (holding 1,000 – 10,000 ETH) increased from 4,750 in June to 4,850 by late July. Wallets of mega-whales (holding over 100,000 ETH) collectively hold 17.41 million ETH (over 22% of the total circulating supply).

Ethereum buy demand has also been outpacing that of Bitcoin in the past month as shown by the rising ETH/BTC ratio below.

Source: Trading View

Additionally, the amount of ETH staked has risen from 63 billion in July 1, to a present 77 billion, indicating positive sentiment in the network.

Key price support and resistance zones

ETH is up 0.85% in the past 24h, wiping out over $100 million in short liquidations and bringing its current price to $1,939.

To maintain the Golden Cross, bulls need to defend the $1,850 – $1,900 demand zone. Further reclamation of prices above the 200-day MA ($2,134) is necessary to confirm a true macro trend reversal. This would also open the way to the $2,300 resistance zone.

Key events that could impact the near-term price of Ethereum include upcoming Fed rates announcement. Others are the tentative Senate floor vote on the CLARITY Act on August 3 and the Middle East conflict.

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Steve Muchoki

Steve is a crypto news writer with a passion for decoding market moves. He blends breaking blockchain news with sharp technical analysis and bold price predictions. From Bitcoin rallies to altcoin breakouts, Steve breaks it all down with clarity and insight. Whether you're a trader or just curious, his analysis keeps you ahead of the curve.

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