Advertise
- Rizwan AnsariRizwan Ansari
- Reviewed by:
Sohrab KhawasSohrab is a passionate cryptocurrency news writer with over five years of experience covering the industry. He keeps a keen interest in blockchain technology and its potential to revolutionize finance. Whether he's trading or writing, Sohrab always keeps his finger on the pulse of the crypto world, using his expertise to deliver informative and engaging articles that educate and inspire. When he's not analyzing the markets, Sohrab indulges in his hobbies of graphic design, minimal design or listening to his favorite hip-hop tunes.
- Sep 04, 2025 11:42 UTC
-
Crypto Market Eyes 2 Key Economic Data to be Released Today
Crypto market awaits crucial U.S. labor reports that could influence Federal Reserve’s next decision.
ADP Nonfarm Employment Change expected at 73,000, signaling potential cooling in job growth.
Initial Jobless Claims forecast at 230,000, offering insights into labor demand and unemployment trends.
Bitcoin hovers near $110K, awaiting labor data that may trigger bullish or bearish moves.
The crypto market is on edge as investors wait for two key U.S. labor reports are be released today, the ADP Nonfarm Employment Change and the Initial Jobless Claims. Their results could heavily influence the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision.
Many expect signs of a cooling job market, and the results could directly impact interest rates, stocks, and Bitcoin’s next big move.
ADP Employment Data Sets the Tone
The first release, the ADP Nonfarm Employment Change, arrives at 8:15 a.m. ET. This report offers an estimate of private-sector job growth and often serves as an early signal before Friday’s official Nonfarm Payrolls.
Economists expect 73,000 new jobs in August, far weaker than last month’s 104,000. A weaker reading would suggest the U.S. labor market is cooling, potentially encouraging the Fed to lean toward rate cuts, a scenario that tends to favor risk assets like crypto.
On the other hand, a surprise upside print could shake the market, adding pressure to BTC’s current price levels.
Jobless Claims Bring Another Signal
Just 15 minutes later, at 8:30 a.m. ET, markets will get the Initial Jobless Claims report, which will provide another snapshot of labor conditions. This weekly figure shows how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time.
- Also Read :
- Crypto News Today LIVE : Bitcoin Price Today, XRP News, XLM Crypto, Nvidia Stock and Crypto Regulation News
- ,
Forecasts are pointing to 230,000 claims, up slightly from last week’s 229,000. If claims rise higher than expected, it would signal easing labor demand, which markets may interpret as bullish for both equities and crypto.
But if claims stay low, it could strengthen the case for the Fed to keep policy tight, weighing on risk appetite.
Fed Rate Cut Odds Already Soaring
Even before today’s data, markets were almost certain that the Fed would cut rates soon. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 97% chance of a rate cut at the next meeting, a sign that traders believe the central bank is preparing to ease policy.
Together, these labor reports may decide whether today’s trading session tilts toward a bullish or bearish market. Bitcoin, now stuck near $110K, positive news could spark a price jump and boost investor confidence.
Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!
Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.
FAQs
It’s a monthly report estimating U.S. private-sector job growth, serving as an early indicator for the broader labor market before official government data.
It tracks weekly new unemployment filings, providing a real-time pulse on labor market health, influencing Fed policy and investor risk appetite.
Weak data may push the Fed toward rate cuts to stimulate the economy, while strong data could delay easing, directly impacting liquidity and risk assets.
ADP jobs: 73K (down from 104K). Jobless claims: 230K (slightly up from 229K). Softer data could fuel rate cut hopes.
Softer data may boost Bitcoin by raising rate cut odds, while stronger data could pressure prices by suggesting delayed Fed easing.
Yes 
No 
