NewsPrice Analysis
  • Steve Muchoki
    author-profile
    Steve Muchoki right arrow
    Author

    Steve is a crypto news writer with a passion for decoding market moves. He blends breaking blockchain news with sharp technical analysis and bold price predictions. From Bitcoin rallies to altcoin breakouts, Steve breaks it all down with clarity and insight. Whether you're a trader or just curious, his analysis keeps you ahead of the curve.

    • 1 minute read

    Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction: Reversal Signs Emerge as RSI Hits Oversold

    Story Highlights
    • Technical indicators show Cardano is oversold yet undervalued and therefore primed for a historical turnaround.

    • Institutions have invested in products tracking ADA as they await SEC approval for an ETF.

    • Certain events could trigger a bottoming out and bullish momentum in 2026.

    Cardano (ADA), the 12th cryptocurrency by market cap, was trading at $0.26 at writing time, having gained 2.84% in the past day following the wider market rally. 

    That said, the coin is priced at 71% below its September 2025 price of $0.90, and 91.5% below its September 2021 all-time high of $3.10.

    Cardano price chart

    Source: CoinMarketCap

    ADA’s 365-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is down 43%, while its open interest is $374.21 million (-3.49% in the last 24h).

    Cardano price analysis

    Despite these negative price movements, analysis shows Cardano is primed for a reversal into a bullish trend, with a possible new all-time high before the year’s end.

    Historically, a dip in MVRV, such as the 30% dip of December 2023, brought with it a 58% rally, according to blockchain analysis firm Santiment.

    ADA’s relative strength index (RSI) is also at the oversold level, which signals an impending price upswing. This is further supported by the short-to-long ratio, which has been high since June 2023. Overcrowding of sellers often triggers massive liquidations, a short squeeze, and consequent bear trend reversal.

    Events to watch for

    Notably, major institutions have increased their exposure to Cardano, including Grayscale Investments, 21Shares, and ETC Group. Currently, institutional flows are focused on ETPs and multi-asset funds, while SEC approval for a Cardano ETF remains pending.

    Other than geopolitical and economic happenings, the price of ADA is likely to be influenced by the Midnight launch scheduled for the end of this month. This would increase decentralization and privacy on the Cardano blockchain, thereby increasing its institutional appeal.

    Another event is the pre-release of Cardano Node 10.7.0, a precursor to the van Rossem hard fork that is meant to increase the blockchain’s smart contract and cryptographic abilities.

    If ADA holds above $0.253, it could test resistance between $0.285 and $0.30. If not, the coin could drop towards $0.244.

    Trust with CoinPedia:

    CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

    Investment Disclaimer:

    All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

    Sponsored and Advertisements:

    Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.

    Show More

    Related Articles

    Back to top button