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Qadir AK
Qadir AK
Author
Qadir Ak is the founder of Coinpedia. He has over a decade of experience writing about technology and has been covering the blockchain and cryptocurrency space since 2010. He has also interviewed a few prominent experts within the cryptocurrency space.
- Oct 01, 2024 05:57 UTC
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Bitcoin Price Analysis for October 2024: Breakout or Breakdown – What’s Next?
Bitcoin price is still below the 200-day Moving Average and trapped in a falling trend since March.
October has historically been a good month for Bitcoin, and with the four-year cycle, a new all-time high is possible by the end of the year.
Market sentiment and whale activity suggest that while the overall trend is positive, there may be short-term fluctuations and potential downturns.
Bitcoin (BTC) ended September with a bullish Doji candlestick, easing initial concerns about a potential drop below $50,000. However, despite this optimism, the flagship cryptocurrency remains in uncertain territory, having closed below the critical 200-day Moving Average (MA) on Monday. Additionally, Bitcoin’s weekly price action has been trapped in a downward trend since March, marked by lower lows and lower highs.
For Bitcoin to break this cycle, it needs to close above the July peak of around $69,900. Failing to do so could increase the likelihood of another dip below $60,000.
October’s Historic Gains Offer Hope
Historically, Bitcoin has shown strong performance in October, often rebounding after a bullish close in September. Based on the established four-year cycle, Bitcoin may be on track to reach a new all-time high by the end of the year.
However, Santiment, a leading market intelligence firm, has urged caution, warning that crypto prices often move in the opposite direction of crowd sentiment, making it essential for traders to manage expectations.
Whale Investors Fuel Bitcoin Demand
Demand for Bitcoin has surged in recent weeks, driven by whale investors and increasing confidence in the market. This trend has been further supported by rate cuts in major economies, including the United States, China, the European Union, and Canada.
Spot BTC ETFs in the U.S., led by BlackRockโs IBIT and Fidelityโs FBTC, have reported nearly $2 billion in net cash inflows over the past month, signaling strong institutional interest.
MicroStrategy and Metaplanet Bitcoin Strategy
Institutional investors like MicroStrategy continue to display a strong appetite for Bitcoin. Recently, Japanese firm Metaplanet announced the acquisition of an additional 107.913 Bitcoins, valued at approximately $6.9 million. This brings Metaplanet’s total Bitcoin holdings to around 506.74 BTC.
In the last week, Bitcoin supply on centralized exchanges dropped by 10,300 coins, indicating a possible accumulation phase by large investors. Adding to this speculation, Dell CEO Michael Dell has filed with the U.S. SEC to sell shares worth approximately $1.2 billion, leading to rumors that he might be preparing to invest in Bitcoin.
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