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    Mustafa has been writing about Blockchain and crypto since many years. He has previous trading experience and has been working in the Fintech industry since 2017.

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Bitcoin’s Next Move: $118K Peak or 30% Crash Ahead?

Story Highlights
  • Bitcoin has surged over 100% in 2024 due to positive market sentiment and Fed rate cuts.

  • Analysts predict two scenarios: a 10-20% rise to $104,000-$118,000 followed by a 20-30% correction, or stabilization around current levels.

  • Concerns about an overbought market and potential correction exist due to high RSI readings.

Bitcoin, the worldโ€™s leading cryptocurrency, has been on a remarkable journey in 2024, surging more than 100% since the year began. Most of these gains have come in the last few months, pushing its market capitalization to an eye-popping $1.83 trillion. But after such a massive rise, many are asking: Whatโ€™s next for Bitcoin?

With analysts forecasting two very different paths, itโ€™s clear that the next moves for Bitcoin could be dramatic. Could we see a climb toward $118,000, or will Bitcoin face a painful drop of 20%-30% in the coming weeks?

Let’s explore.

Bitcoin Hits New Highs – But What’s Next?

Bitcoin (BTC) recently soared to an all-time high (ATH) of $93,207 before experiencing a slight pullback, stabilizing around $87,000. Meanwhile, the current surge can be attributed to two major factors. First, the recent U.S. presidential election result, which saw Republican candidate Donald Trump secure victory, has brought optimism to the market.ย 

Second, the Federal Reserveโ€™s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50% to 4.75% has created a more favorable environment for assets like Bitcoin, attracting even more investors into the market.

Bitcoin Price Action Analysis – 2 Scenarios

Analysts have laid out two possible paths for Bitcoin’s future price movement:

  • Plan A: Bitcoin could continue its rally, rising another 10% to 20%, bringing the price to between $104,000 and $118,000. However, this rise would likely be followed by a correction of 20%-30%, which would bring Bitcoin back down to a more stable level.
  • Plan B: Bitcoin might stabilize at its current levels, with a modest rise toward recent highs before facing a 20%-30% correction. If this happens, Bitcoinโ€™s price could fall to around $69,000 to $79,000.

Is a Correction Coming?

These two scenarios highlight potential volatility in Bitcoinโ€™s price. One concern for traders is Bitcoinโ€™s daily relative strength index (RSI), which is currently in overbought territory. When the RSI exceeds 70, it indicates strong buying momentum that might be running out, suggesting a possible pullback.

As Bitcoin continues its climb, traders and investors should stay alert to market signals. This makes for an exciting and unpredictable few months!

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