NewsPrice Analysis

Bitcoin Whales Defy Volatility, Quietly Accumulate BTC at 17% Discount

Story Highlights
  • Bitcoin whales have been steadily and quietly accumulating since late May, bringing their total stash to 3.09 million.

  • This trend has persisted despite price volatility caused by macroeconomic and geopolitical reasons.

  • One technical trifecta shows BTC may have reached the accumulation zone with the best risk-to-reward ratio.

Bitcoin (BTC) whales (accounts holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC) have been consistently accumulating the cryptocurrency since late May. This period of accumulation began in early May, when prices were around  $80,000, and has continued even as prices declined 17.25% to a current $66,256.

Whales load up on Bitcoin despite market swings 

Unlike previous months, the period since May shows unprecedented, continuous accumulation despite geopolitical and macroeconomic headwinds. In the last month alone, this cohort has accumulated 48,000 Bitcoins. This brings their total stash to 3.09 million Bitcoins, similar to the amount they held in February of this year.

Bitcoin whale accumulation pattern

Source: Crypto Quant

These whales likely represent institutions that thrive on Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) rather than timing markets for ripe entry levels.

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Even then, these whales are likely anticipating a major market turnaround following recent developments in global crypto regulation and technical setups.

US President Donald Trump recently signed an ethics package barring him and any other high-ranking officials from profiting off the crypto policies they shape. Despite this development, nations such as Japan and Russia are way ahead of America in terms of crypto regulation. This builds pressure for swift policy legalization, seeing as the US aims to lead the crypto industry on a global scale.

Technical setups

On-chain metrics such as MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) and CVDD (Cumulative Value-Days Destroyed) suggest a potential cycle bottom between $40,000 and $50,000. 

However, one technical trifecta indicates we may have arrived at a historically dominant accumulation zone.

Bitcoin monthly chart

Source: Ali Charts

The monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 43.65, the Chande Momentum Oscillator is at -71, and BTC is actively trading around its 50-month moving average. The combination of these offers a highly favorable risk-to-reward ratio, driving whale attention away from shorting and into accumulation.

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