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Sohrab KhawasSohrab is a passionate cryptocurrency news writer with over five years of experience covering the industry. He keeps a keen interest in blockchain technology and its potential to revolutionize finance. Whether he's trading or writing, Sohrab always keeps his finger on the pulse of the crypto world, using his expertise to deliver informative and engaging articles that educate and inspire. When he's not analyzing the markets, Sohrab indulges in his hobbies of graphic design, minimal design or listening to his favorite hip-hop tunes.
- Dec 18, 2025 06:56 UTC
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Bitcoin Price Could Rally 45% as Golden Cross Appears for Fifth Time Since 2020
Bitcoin forms fifth Golden Cross, a signal that triggered strong rallies during uncertain markets
Trader Merlijn says Golden Cross could drive 45% to 50% Bitcoin price rally ahead
Bitcoin price has been moving sideways around $86K, keeping the crypto market nervous. However, bullish hope has returned as Bitcoin formed a fresh Golden Cross, a signal that often comes before major price rallies.”
According to popular trader Merlijn The Trader, this setup could fuel a 45%–50% move, potentially pushing Bitcoin toward $130K in the coming months.
Bitcoin Golden Cross Appears Again
According to charts shared by crypto trader Merlijn The Trader, Bitcoin has formed its fifth Golden Cross since 2020. In past cycles, this signal appeared early, when confidence was low, and many investors were unsure about the market’s next move.
This is why the signal matters. History shows that Bitcoin often moves higher after similar Golden Cross patterns. In earlier cycles, Bitcoin rose by:
- 87% in early 2020
- 47% in the next phase
- 78% during the 2021 rally
- 33% in a later cycle
These gains did not happen right away. Bitcoin usually stayed flat for weeks or even months before starting its move. This suggests the Golden Cross often marks the start of a build-up phase, not the top.
How High Can Bitcoin Price Go This Time?
The same situation is visible now. Bitcoin is struggling to move above $90,000, and the overall market mood remains cautious. Merlijn points out that Golden Cross signals usually show up when sentiment is weak, not when excitement is high.
At present, Bitcoin is trading near $86,600. Even the smallest gain of 33% would push the price close to $115,000.
If momentum improves and Bitcoin sees a mid-range rally of around 45%, the price could move toward $130,000. Meanwhile, a similar move this time could lift prices into the $145,000 to $155,000 range.
Bitcoin Price Struggles Short Term
Despite the bullish setup, Bitcoin is still facing short-term pressure. Data from Glassnode shows nearly 6.7 million BTC are currently held at a loss, creating strong selling pressure near the $90,000–$95,000 zone.
At the same time, holiday trading has reduced liquidity, which often leads to sharp but temporary price swings. Recent buying activity has also come mostly from derivatives traders, not long-term spot buyers.
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FAQs
A Golden Cross happens when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term one, often signaling growing momentum and potential price rallies.
Bitcoin often recovers weeks or months after a Golden Cross, once selling pressure fades and spot buying returns, signaling stronger market confidence.
Bitcoin could retest nearby support zones if selling continues, but strong long-term demand and historical patterns suggest deep drops are less likely.
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