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Elena R
Elena R
Author
Elena is an expert in technical analysis and risk management in cryptocurrency market. She has 10+year experience in writing - accordingly she is avid journalists with a passion towards researching new insights coming into crypto erena.
- Dec 30, 2024 08:23 UTC
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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Crossroads Ahead – Rally to $120K or $78K Dip?
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BTC $ 84,581.39 (0.23%) 
After a brief surge above $100k, Bitcoin has fallen over 14% in two weeks, trading below its 50-day moving average.
Trader Peter Brandt observes potential for both a bullish rebound (HSBDP pattern) and a bearish correction (head and shoulder pattern).
Rising fear in the futures market and a shift towards altcoins are dampening Bitcoin's bullish momentum.
Earlier this month, Bitcoin (BTC) made history, soaring above the $100k mark for the first time ever. It was a monumental moment for the cryptocurrency world, sparking excitement and speculation about the future of the 2024/2025 bull market. But as quickly as the excitement rose, it began to fade.
A shift in focus towards large and mid-cap altcoins has started to weigh on Bitcoin’s momentum.
After reaching $100k, Bitcoin has seen a sharp decline, dropping over 14% in the past two weeks. As of Monday, December 30, it was trading around $93.3k during the mid-London session. On the daily chart, Bitcoin has consistently closed below its 50-day moving average (MA), suggesting that short-term bears are in control.
Keep reading to explore the challenges and opportunities ahead for Bitcoin.
A Critical Time for Bitcoin
Veteran trader Peter Brandt noted that Bitcoin is at a crucial crossroads. He believes the next move could either lead to a rally toward $120k or a correction toward support around $78k. From a bearish perspective, Brandt sees the potential for a head and shoulders (H&S) pattern on the daily chart, which could signal further downside risk.
On the other hand, Brandt pointed out that Bitcoin might be forming a bullish pattern known as the Hump Slump Bump Dump Pump (HSBDP).
This pattern historically signals a strong rebound, leaving room for a possible bullish reversal, even amid the current uncertainty.
Institutional Investors Keep Buying Bitcoin
Despite the short-term bearish outlook, institutional investors are still buying up Bitcoin. Led by major players like BlackRock’s IBIT and MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR), these institutions have been steadily increasing their holdings.
On-chain data from Coinglass shows that the supply of Bitcoin on centralized exchanges has dropped to a multi-year low of around 2.24 million coins, reflecting a growing scarcity of Bitcoin available for sale.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs See Strong Inflows
The US spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract significant institutional interest. These ETFs have seen a total net inflow of about $35.6 billion, bringing their total assets to around $106.6 billion. However, Bitcoin’s Futures Open Interest (OI) market has declined by over $7 billion in recent weeks, now hovering around $59 billion.
This drop suggests growing concerns about a potential midterm selloff as traders look to protect their positions.
Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!
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Whether it rallies toward $120k or faces further correction, institutional support remains strong, and the long-term outlook for Bitcoin is still debated among experts.
FAQs
As per Coinpedia’s BTC price prediction, 1 BTC could peak at $169,046.
In 2030, the price of 1 Bitcoin could reach a height of $610,646.
Projecting a 10-year growth in a volatile asset like Bitcoin seems a far-stretched notion. The BTC price is expected to cross $600,000 by 2030. With global adoption, Bitcoin could be worth 1 million dollars.
Yes 
No 
