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U.S. Representatives Adrian Smith and Nikki Budzinski have introduced the PREDICT Act, a bipartisan bill to prohibit the president, vice president, members of Congress, political appointees, and their spouses and dependents from participating in prediction markets tied to political events, policy decisions, or government actions. The legislation would impose a 10% fine on the value of any contract and require the forfeiture of all profits earned in violation of the ban. The proposal aims to prevent conflicts of interest and maintain trust in government decision-making.
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