Research Report
  • Yash Jain
    author-profile

    Yash Jain right arrow

    Author

    Yash is a crypto analyst specializing in price analysis, predictions, and in-depth research reports. He combines technical indicators with on-chain data to uncover market trends and potential breakouts. His sharp insights help readers navigate the crypto market with confidence. Whether it’s Bitcoin or emerging altcoins, Yash breaks it down with clarity and precision.

    • Reviewed by: Qadir AK

      author profile

      Qadir AK right arrow

      Reviewed

      Qadir Ak is the founder of Coinpedia. He has over a decade of experience writing about technology and has been covering the blockchain and cryptocurrency space since 2010. He has also interviewed a few prominent experts within the cryptocurrency space.

      • author facebook
      • author twitter
      • author linkedin
    • 5 minutes read

    H1 2025 Crypto Market Report- Market Trends, Key Metrics, and Institutional Flows

    After peaking at $3.7 trillion in Q4 2024, the crypto market entered 2025 with weaker momentum. Bitcoin had hit $109,000 and a $2.1 trillion market cap, driven by ETF inflows and favorable macro trends.

    However, H1 2025 saw a sharp slowdown. The total market cap fell to $2.4 trillion mid-cycle before recovering to $3.31 trillion by July 1. Bitcoin experienced a major drawdown but rebounded to a new ATH of $112K, supported by steady institutional buying from Strategy and Metaplanet.

    Macroeconomic pressures added to volatility. The Fed held rates steady at 4.25%-4.5%, with inflation at 2.4%. Geopolitical tensions, including U.S.-China tariffs and Middle East unrest, kept investors on edge. Despite this, crypto showed resilience, backed by regulatory clarity and rising demand from emerging markets.

    Investor sentiment was highly volatile. The Fear & Greed Index plunged from 94 in December to 10 in March but recovered to 64 by July. Still, sentiment remains range-bound between 40 and 65, signaling lingering caution in the market.

    Market Overview

    MetricJanuary 1June 30
    Total Market Capitalization$3.26 trillion$3.28 trillion
    Monthly Exchange Volumes$2.32 trillion$1.07 trillion
    Bitcoin Dominance56.8%64.0%
    Ethereum Dominance12.3%8.0%
    Rest of Altcoins Dominance31.5%26.0%
    Fear and Greed Index6665

    Bitcoin Performance

    MetricJanuary 1June 30Remark
    Bitcoin Price$94,951$108,800Gains surged by 12%
    Exchange Reserves2.89 Million BTC2.44 Million BTCIndicates higher accumulation
    ETF Inflows$5.25 Billion (monthly)$4.60 Billion (monthly)Slightly lower inflows
    Active Addresses827K900KIncrease shows demand

    Key Events

    • Institutional and government accumulation: Strategy, Metaplanet, and different countries’ governments added BTC.
    • Geopolitical dips caused by wars like Iran-Israel and US tariff threats caused brief slides.

    Ethereum performance

    MetricJanuary 1June 30Remark
    Ethereum Price$3,366$2,524Gains declined by 27%
    Exchange Reserves19.5 Million ETH19.02 Million ETHSlight difference in reserves, shows lesser accumulation
    ETF Inflows$101.16 Million (monthly)$1.16 Billion (monthly)A 10x growth in inflows witnessed
    Active Addresses372K356KNumber of unique addresses are slightly down

    Key events and developments

    • Continued protocol upgrades, Stablecoin and DeFi activity remained strong.
    • Institutional flows into ETH ETFs increased massively.
    • The price stayed suppressed due to Geopolitical factors.

    Top Category Breakdown

    CategoryNotable TokensH1 Trend Summary
    Layer‑1SOL, ADA, AVAXBright growth led by ecosystem expansion and ETF odds are higher
    Layer‑2OP, ARB, MATICStrong gains as scaling adoption increased
    Meme CoinsDOGE, SHIBVolatile but fetching attention, especially DOGE, with ETF odds rising
    AI TokensFET, RNDR, AGIXMomentum aligned with AI and crypto crossover
    Gaming/MetaverseSAND, AXS, GALAModest growth is witnessed
    DeFiUNI, AAVEGained from on‑chain activity and yield demand

    Top Gainers

    Cryptocurrency GainersPercentage Gain (H1 2025)Major Catalyst
    Monero (XMR)$186 to $318 ~ 71% gainsSignificant price surge due to heightened demand for privacy-focused cryptocurrencies.
    Hyperliquid (HYPE)$22 to $39 ~ 74% gainsRapid growth is attributed to enhanced liquidity and user engagement.

    Top Losers

    Cryptocurrency  losersPercentage Loss (H1 2025)Major Catalyst
    Bitcoin SV (BSV)$55 to $24 ~ -45.23%gainsRegulatory uncertainties, and declining investor confidence due to competition and security concerns..
    Pi Network (PI)$2.99 to $0.48 ~ -36%gainsPrice dropped due to weak market sentiment and failure to meet adoption expectations.

    Stablecoin Performance & Market Share

    MetricJanuaryJuneRemark
    Market Cap$204 Billion$251.55 BillionSignificant increase in overall market cap.
    Stablecoin Market Cap Share7.9%8.9%Jump in stablecoin market cap share.
    On-Chain Volume$982 Billion$1.39 TrillionIncrease in on-chain transaction volume.

    The first half of 2025 marked a new phase in stablecoin evolution, characterized by rising volumes, shifting dominance, growing institutional adoption, and increased legislative support. While USDT and USDC remained dominant, smaller players like PYUSD, RLUSD, and DAI slightly expanded their market share. Ethereum continued to lead as the primary stablecoin settlement layer, though TRON and Solana gained traction as emerging launchpads.

    Crypto ETF Performance

    • US Bitcoin Spot ETF recorded a cumulative net inflow of $48.97 billion.
    • Total net assets for Bitcoin ETFs reached $134.11 billion as of June 30.
    • Bitcoin ETF holdings represent 6.27% of the total Bitcoin market cap.
    • US Ethereum Spot ETF saw a cumulative net inflow of $4.21 billion.
    • Total net assets for Ethereum ETFs stood at $10.32 billion as of June 30.
    • Ethereum ETF holdings equal 3.42% of the Bitcoin market cap.
    • In-kind redemption mechanisms are gaining popularity for assets like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Aptos (APT).
    • There are currently 72 altcoin ETF applications pending regulatory approval.

    DeFi Sector Overview

    • Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi rose from $86 billion to $112 billion by June 2025, signaling increased adoption and capital inflow.
    • AAVE dominated the lending market with over 60% share and $16 billion+ in borrows.
    • The AAVE V3 protocol continued to attract collateral, and anticipation around the V4 launch further boosted confidence.
    • DEXs like Uniswap, Jupiter, and PancakeSwap saw increased network activity, resulting in higher fees and supporting DeFi’s rebound.
    • HYPE’s fee-free DEX enhanced user activity across multiple chains.
    • Lending protocols from HYPE also gained traction during H1 2025.
    • AAVE lending yields ranged between 5% to 8% APY, down from 2024 due to higher TVL and reduced risk premiums.

    Important News & Events

    • In H1 2025, nearly 334 – 344 hacks caused $2.2 – $2.5B losses, including Bybit’s $1.5B breach.
    • ProCap and Grant Cardone’s firms entered the Bitcoin treasury race, intensifying corporate crypto adoption.
    • U.S. SEC signaled openness to in-kind redemptions for crypto ETFs, fueling speculation about future altcoin fund approvals.
    • Norway is exploring a crypto-mining ban, while a different country, Kazakhstan, is exploring a national crypto reserve.
    • Metaplanet and Strategy aggressively expanded their BTC holdings, marking a corporate treasury shift toward Bitcoin as a long-term reserve asset.
    • Ripple dropped its cross-appeal in the SEC case, paving the way for a near-end to the multi-year legal battle.
    • World Liberty Financial (WLFI), backed by Trump family ties, expanded USD1 stablecoin on BNB Chain, boosting RWA and DeFi interest.

    Final Outlook For H2 2025 

    Despite all the ups and downs, H1 2025 proved just how resilient the crypto market has become. Bitcoin surged to a new high of $112K, and the overall market rebounded to $3.31 trillion.

    Now, if bullishness increases, then Bitcoin may hit $180,000 – $200,000, Ethereum $5,000 – $6,000, by year-end 2025. This growth could be fueled by future Fed rate cuts, ETF inflows, and the Stablecoin Payment Act. Moreover, DeFi is also regaining momentum with $112B in TVL, and institutional interest keeps rising. With altcoin ETFs on the horizon and big players entering the space, H2 2025 could be the setup for a major breakout, which could possibly take the total crypto market cap toward the $4 – $5 trillion mark.

    Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

    Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

    FAQs

    What’s the outlook for H2 2025 crypto?

    If ETF inflows, Fed cuts, and stablecoin reforms hold, Bitcoin could reach $180–200K, with market cap nearing $4–5T.

    How did investor sentiment change in H1 2025?

    Crypto sentiment swung from extreme fear (index ~10 in March) to moderate greed (~64 by July)

    Is 2025 really a record-breaking year for corporate Bitcoin adoption?

    Yep, it absolutely is. Public company holdings more than doubled from 2024 — from 64 companies to 151. Firms are no longer experimenting — they’re going all in, especially after the U.S. government signaled policy support.

    How do corporate Bitcoin holdings affect the market?

    Many users speculate that large corporate purchases can drive price surges, reduce circulating supply, and influence retail investor sentiment. There’s also concern about centralization if too much Bitcoin is held by a few large entities.

    Show More

    Related Articles

    Back to top button