Polygon (POL) price is taking a breather above $0.11, rebounding about 11% from the key psychological support at $0.10, signaling short-term relief after recent weakness. On-chain data shows January’s activity driving a sharp increase in token burns, with roughly 25.7 million POL removed from circulation, marking one of the largest monthly burns since the POL transition. Network usage has also fuelled bridged net inflows and a rise in stablecoin supply, supported by the adoption of Ethereum’s trustless agent standard (ERC-8004) on Polygon, which expands utility and liquidity flows on the layer-2 chain.
Despite these bullish fundamental cues, POL’s technical picture remains under pressure. The token is still trading within a broader downtrend, with key moving averages sloping downward and the market structure showing lower highs, suggesting the recent bounce could be a relief rally rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
The POL price in the short term is attempting a short-term trend reversal after completing a deep corrective move from the $0.18 high. Price has defended the $0.10–0.11 demand zone and is now trading around $0.115, just above the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $0.119, signaling early signs of accumulation. The structure suggests a higher low is forming, which keeps a relief move in play as long as the price holds above $0.11.
From an indicator perspective, price is trying to reclaim the MA ribbon (20/50/100 EMA–SMA cluster), with the 50-SMA curling up, often an early trend-shift signal on lower timeframes. RSI at ~61 shows improving momentum without being overbought, supporting continuation rather than exhaustion. On the upside, a clean hold above $0.12 opens the door to $0.132 (0.382 Fib), followed by $0.143 (0.5 Fib). A stronger breakout above $0.15 would expose $0.186. On the downside, losing $0.11 would invalidate the bounce and bring $0.099–0.10 back into focus.
A 100% move-in Polygon (Ex MATIC) price this month sounds bold, but it’s not impossible. The price has already shown strength by holding the $0.10 support and starting to reclaim key moving averages, which keeps the recovery story alive.
The POL price still needs to break and hold above $0.15, and then convincingly clear the $0.18 resistance, where sellers were active earlier. Without strong volume and a supportive market backdrop, any upside is more likely to come in steady legs rather than a straight vertical surge.
POL rebounded after defending the $0.10 support, helped by higher token burns, rising network activity, and improving short-term momentum.
If market sentiment improves, POL could revisit $0.18–$0.20 first. A sustained breakout may open higher targets over time.
By 2026, POL’s price will depend on adoption and market cycles. With growth, long-term recovery toward prior highs is possible.
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