On-chain expert Willy Woo projects Bitcoin’s bottom may land between $46,000 and $54,000, citing the CVDD Floor Model near $45,500 and historical patterns from past bear markets. Bitcoin has declined from over $90,000 in late 2025 to around $66,500, with key metrics showing capital stored in BTC has been falling since November. Woo warns that because these models are based on only four prior downturns during broad bullish cycles, a larger market breakdown could push BTC into an uncharted, deeper bear trend. Meanwhile, prediction markets like Polymarket currently price a 54% chance of BTC hitting $45,000 by year-end, highlighting mixed sentiment between caution and opportunistic buying.
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