Cardano (ADA) Rally Raises Concerns Despite 50% Price Surge and 1500% Volume Jump- What’s Next?

Cardano’s price is known for its sluggish trend. The price remains consolidated within a narrow range, due to which some label it as a dead coin or a stablecoin. To wake up the Cardano bulls, huge positive news was required, and the latest announcement of the Strategic Reserve served the purpose. The inclusion of ADA into the reserve was one of the most bullish indicators that attracted massive liquidity onto the platform. As a result, whales utilized the opportunity pretty well and accumulated millions of ADA. 

As seen in the above Santiment data shared by analyst Ali, the addresses holding ADA tokens ranging from 10 million to 100 million have accumulated over 200 million ADA tokens in the past 24 hours. Currently, they are holding over 12.73 billion tokens, and hence, this accumulation is said to be one of the major reasons for the surge. Soon after it rose to the monthly high close to $1.145, the price began to drop and plunged below $1. 

Whether the ADA Price Jump Was Real or a Made-Up One

It is quite evident that the volume of Cardano has largely been within a restrictive range and experiences a couple of spikes now and then. The drop in volume has been evident since the bear market that followed the 2021 bull run, which did not recover completely until Q4 2024. The trading volume during the past trading day was slightly above the volume ranges during the Q4 2024 breakout. However, the rise in the volume persisted for nearly a month, but the levels have quickly dropped after recording a huge bullish candle. 

This suggests the rise in the price was probably not due to the retail traders but whales, whose trading activity spikes only when the prices reach interim lows. Hence, now that the token has slashed below the psychological barrier, a recovery may require yet another buying volume that may surpass the pivotal resistance at $1.15 and push the price beyond $1.2. 

The above chart shows that the price has reversed its trend and has entered back within the bearish range. Besides, the RSI has dropped from the upper threshold, while the +Di of the MACD displays a bearish divergence while -Di remains still. This suggests the upswing could be a short-lived one. Therefore, the ADA price rally is now expected to drop close to $0.9 or slightly below the range and remain consolidated for a while. 

The crypto markets are displaying huge uncertainty as they appear to have been heavily influenced by external factors, which is not good for the healthy growth of the markets. Therefore, the Cardano price may remain within an accumulated zone until the next bullish announcement does not knock into the crypto markets.