XRP Is the Quietest It Has Been Since June 2025 and Last Time That Happened It Rallied 63%

Story Highlight

• XRP price holds near $1.30 despite a 60% drop from 2025 highs
• XRPL activity rises with payments hitting 2.7M and AMM pools at 27K
• Bollinger Band squeeze points to a strong move ahead

XRP price is stabilizing after months of downside, but the structure suggests this phase may not last long. In a thread shared by analyst GREG, the current setup shows that while the price looks quiet, the underlying structure is far from weak.

After dropping nearly 60% from its $3.65 peak in 2025, XRP is now trading around $1.30–$1.31, holding a tight range without sharp reactions. This steady movement suggests controlled price action, with pressure building as price stays compressed.

On-chain Activity Rises as Usage Expands

Network data is starting to change. XRPL activity is picking up, with daily payments reaching 2.7 million. At the same time, AMM pools have climbed to around 27,000, while tokenized asset value has increased 35% over the past month.

Exchange supply is also dropping, especially on major platforms, showing that holders are choosing to hold rather than sell.

This mix of rising usage and falling supply suggests demand is returning more naturally, not driven by speculation.

Technically Breakout Possible, If?

Technically, XRP is trading within a narrowing range, with support near $1.28 and resistance around $1.52. Price remains near the middle-lower Bollinger Band, while RSI stays neutral.

Bollinger Bands are now at their tightest levels since June 2025, which previously led to a 63% rally. This kind of compression usually comes before a strong move.

At the same time, repeated attempts to move higher have not faced strong rejection, showing selling pressure is easing while buyers remain active.

XRP Price Outlook

XRP is now showing alignment between price structure and rising network activity. Supply is tightening, participation is increasing, and price continues to hold steady below resistance.

A move above $1.52 could push the price higher, while a drop below $1.28 may extend the range. For now, XRP is holding firm, with the setup leaning toward an upside move.