Will Altcoins Face a 40% Drop? Lessons from Bitcoin’s 2020 Election Performance

As the U.S. elections approach, clarity on cryptocurrency regulations is a top concern for investors, particularly regarding Bitcoin and Ethereum. If Kamala Harris wins, analysts predict a market reaction similar to what we saw in the 2020 elections.

Following the 2020 election on November 3, Bitcoin’s price rose for about 66 days as investors sought safety in the cryptocurrency. In contrast, altcoins suffered a significant drop of around 40% over the next two months. This pattern suggests that if Harris secures victory, Bitcoin may initially rise, while altcoins could experience a decline before gradually recovering.

Investors are likely to react similarly this time, moving into Bitcoin as a safe haven. However, after a month or two, as confidence in the overall crypto market returns, altcoins may begin to catch up. This recovery could be influenced by the ongoing migration of crypto developers out of the United States since President Biden took office, which has strengthened markets in Asia.

Why a New Memecoin Surge Could Be Possible

With the current regulatory climate, particularly regarding the SEC’s stance on cryptocurrencies, there’s potential for another meme coin rally. The analyst said that unlike altcoins, which are likely to face scrutiny from regulators, meme coins may remain untouched. This is because they often lack a centralized development team and aren’t classified as securities, making them less vulnerable to regulation.

If Kamala Harris wins the election, the market may initially respond cautiously, pulling back on risk. However, as confidence returns, we could see a surge in interest in Bitcoin and various meme coins. Interestingly, while many meme coins might rally, Dogecoin could suffer due to its association with Elon Musk and the previous administration.