Bitcoin Price Analysis for October 2024: Breakout or Breakdown – What’s Next?

Bitcoin (BTC) ended September with a bullish Doji candlestick, easing initial concerns about a potential drop below $50,000. However, despite this optimism, the flagship cryptocurrency remains in uncertain territory, having closed below the critical 200-day Moving Average (MA) on Monday. Additionally, Bitcoin’s weekly price action has been trapped in a downward trend since March, marked by lower lows and lower highs.

For Bitcoin to break this cycle, it needs to close above the July peak of around $69,900. Failing to do so could increase the likelihood of another dip below $60,000.

October’s Historic Gains Offer Hope

Historically, Bitcoin has shown strong performance in October, often rebounding after a bullish close in September. Based on the established four-year cycle, Bitcoin may be on track to reach a new all-time high by the end of the year.

However, Santiment, a leading market intelligence firm, has urged caution, warning that crypto prices often move in the opposite direction of crowd sentiment, making it essential for traders to manage expectations.

Whale Investors Fuel Bitcoin Demand

Demand for Bitcoin has surged in recent weeks, driven by whale investors and increasing confidence in the market. This trend has been further supported by rate cuts in major economies, including the United States, China, the European Union, and Canada.

Spot BTC ETFs in the U.S., led by BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC, have reported nearly $2 billion in net cash inflows over the past month, signaling strong institutional interest.

MicroStrategy and Metaplanet Bitcoin Strategy

Institutional investors like MicroStrategy continue to display a strong appetite for Bitcoin. Recently, Japanese firm Metaplanet announced the acquisition of an additional 107.913 Bitcoins, valued at approximately $6.9 million. This brings Metaplanet’s total Bitcoin holdings to around 506.74 BTC.

In the last week, Bitcoin supply on centralized exchanges dropped by 10,300 coins, indicating a possible accumulation phase by large investors. Adding to this speculation, Dell CEO Michael Dell has filed with the U.S. SEC to sell shares worth approximately $1.2 billion, leading to rumors that he might be preparing to invest in Bitcoin.

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