Polymarket prediction markets are showing a cautious outlook for Bitcoin in 2026, with traders assigning a 67% probability that BTC will trade below $55,000 and a 43% chance of falling under $45,000. These odds reflect shifting sentiment as traders weigh macro uncertainty, historical cycle behavior, and weakening momentum after recent volatility. Market participants are also mapping potential cycle bottom zones ranging roughly between 60,000 and 38,000 dollars. The data highlights growing debate on whether Bitcoin is entering a deeper correction phase.
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