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Trump vs. Harris: Will U.S. Elections Drive Bitcoin to a New All-Time High?

Published by
Sohrab Khawas

Currently, the crypto market stands at a valuation of $2.33 trillion. This has witnessed a massive surge in the past two months, with Bitcoin momentarily crossing over the $73,000 mark. 

However, over the past few days, the correction in Bitcoin has dropped its market value to $69,674. Currently, it has registered a 0.61% surge in the past 24 hours and a 3.88% jump in 7 days. 

Despite the short-term setback, dropping the weekly return gains, the 30-day Bitcoin registers a 13.60% jump in the last 30 days. With the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, the growing institutional demand, and the hype of a bullish end to 2024, will the Bitcoin price surge to a new all-time high? Let’s find out. 

Bitcoin Price Prediction Amid U.S. Presidential Elections

U.S. presidential elections remain a key catalyst in driving the current Bitcoin prices. Over Polymarket, users anticipate Donald Trump winning the elections by 57.5%. This is remarkably supported by $1.15 billion of trading volume. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris stands at 42.5% of chances. 

The pro-stance of Donald Trump towards Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies makes his possible winning a potential bullish catalyst for Bitcoin. 

Per the daily chart, the BTC price is struggling to surpass its all-time high level of nearly $73,600. If Donald Trump wins the U.S. elections, BTC prices are expected to surge. 

Furthermore, if either candidate wins, the broader market anticipates a 0.25 basis point cut in interest rates. Hence, the BTC price will likely surge higher to the 1.272 Fibonacci level at $79,000. 

Institutional Support Grows For Bitcoin

The growing institutional demand for Bitcoin has been a crucial driving force. Over the past four weeks, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have registered a net positive inflow. 

Leading the trend, BlackRock’s IBIT now has a total net asset of $29.95 billion, followed by Grayscale’s GBTC of $15.22 billion.

What If Trump Loses?

In case Donald Trump loses the elections, the growing positive stance from Kamala Harris might play a positive role for Bitcoin. However, the general market sentiment anticipates a minor setback for the crypto market if Donald Trump loses.

In such a case, the BTC price is likely to find support near the $65,000 support level. However, the potential rate cuts following the US presidential elections will reignite the bullish trend. Hence, the loss of Donald Trump might be a bittersweet situation for Bitcoin holders.

Curious to know if Bitcoin will hit $100,000 in 2024? Find a technically and logically driven answer in Coinpedia’s BTC price prediction, and subscribe to us for the latest crypto updates!

Sohrab Khawas

Sohrab is a passionate cryptocurrency news writer with over five years of experience covering the industry. He keeps a keen interest in blockchain technology and its potential to revolutionize finance. Whether he's trading or writing, Sohrab always keeps his finger on the pulse of the crypto world, using his expertise to deliver informative and engaging articles that educate and inspire. When he's not analyzing the markets, Sohrab indulges in his hobbies of graphic design, minimal design or listening to his favorite hip-hop tunes.

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