The Solana (SOL) price is approaching a critical technical juncture as price action tightens within a narrowing range, signalling an impending breakout. With momentum building beneath the surface and volatility coiling, traders are closely watching for a decisive move that could shape the asset’s short-term trajectory. As price continues to hover near key structural levels, the current setup presents a compelling opportunity for both bulls and bears.
Now the question arises whether the bears will regain the dominance, regardless of a huge bullish setup in the wider perspective!
Earlier this week, the REX-Osprey Solana ETF went live, which also offered staking. This presented strong exposure to the token as it witnessed over $67 million in trading within two days of its launch. This implies easy institutional access, adding a new source of demand and reducing volatility with capital getting locked in staking. Apart from this progress, here are the other factors that may lift up the SOL price rally.
The XRP total value locked (TVL) has jumped from around $2 billion in early 2024 to over $8.6 billion. Besides, Solana leads in daily active addresses, which is around 3.3 million and transaction throughput, surpassing Ethereum on some metrics. Moreover, the SOL-based dApps like Jupiter, MarginFi, Kamino, and Drift could also drive record usage in the DeFi & DePIN sectors.
Solana remains one of the most developer-active blockchains, second only to Ethereum in GitHub commits. Besides, the innovations like Blazingly fast L1 throughput, Sealevel parallel execution, and local fee markets enhance performance. This creates a long-term moat against competitors like Avalanche and Near Protocol.
Solana staking has been at the edge, with over 65% of SOL being staked, which reduces the liquid supply and adds yield appeal for long-term holders. With more than 7% staking APY, investors have incentives to lock tokens, which lowers selling pressure and enhances scarcity. On the other hand, Solana Mobile (Saga), Solana Pay (Visa Integration), and in-store crypto payments position it as the Web3 infrastructure chain.
Bitcoin’s post-halving cycles have resulted in major price jumps among the other altcoins, including Solana. Usually, the high-performance Layer-1 tokens like SOL undergo massive upswings, outperforming past rallies, if the BTC price enters the discovery phase. On the other hand, the token is gaining traction in regulated financial products, and the absence of active enforcement actions and increasing ETF/derivatives availability could improve investor confidence.
Solana price seems to be closely following the other altcoins like XRP and BNB, which set up a bullish case and further rise without making any noise. The bulls are currently facing a tough time in surpassing the local resistance zone between $152.51 and $154.43. They have been failing to breach above the zone since the start of the month, and hence, a successful attempt may turn the tables for the SOL price rally.
As seen in the above chart, the Solana price has been trading within an ascending triangle and is very far from the apex. After rebounding from the local lows, the pullback aftermath of breaking the neckline of the head & shoulder pattern, the price is facing tough resistance. While the CMF has risen above 0, signalling a strong inflow of money into the platform. On the other hand, the DMI levels have been juggling along the average range since the start of the month. This suggests there is some scope for uncertainty over the SOL price in the short term.
The long-term price action still remains bullish, with multiple events lined up, along with the market conditions changing in the coming days. Bitcoin price is believed to rise and mark new highs in the coming days; with this, the top 10 altcoins, including Solana, are expected to kick-start a new upswing.
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