Toncoin Price Prediction: Could TON Hit $6.80 by Q3 2025 After xAI Deal?

Today, the founder of Telegram, Pavel Durov, tweeted a post that sent the sleeping Toncoin price higher by almost 24% to $3.6, before coming down to $3.34. 

He confirmed that his company has made an agreement with X, which will allow its telegram users in-app access to Grok. 

Per the terms, TON’s Telegram will receive cash and equity investment amounting to $300 million from xAI, along with half of the revenue generated by xAI subscriptions through its messaging app.

Will this news be the Catalyst for TON price and its blockchain needed for long-term growth? Keep reading to find out.

Analyst Highlights Toncoin Price Could Reach $6.80 By Q3 2025

The recent intraday rise from a symmetrical triangle has boosted many investors’ morale, but the momentum faded sooner than expected, and the price re-entered the symmetrical triangle range.

Despite this, several experts have dropped their bullish theories for TON crypto, where one analyst in specific said through his posted drawing that if Q2 is closed above $4.21, then a target of $6.80 could be at hand by Q3 2025.

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What’s Happening Inside TON Blockchain?

Despite analysts’ bullish outlook, core metrics reveal a different story for the TON ecosystem. The TON Ecosystem’s perspective dashboard from IntoTheBlock shows stagnant adoption. Known for its mini-apps on Telegram, user engagement and app traction are declining.

High adoption typically means increased user interest, but TON is experiencing the opposite. By May 2025, daily active addresses dropped significantly compared to the start of the year, with all mini-apps facing reduced adoption rates.

Profitability for token holders has also suffered, as TON and its mini-apps like HMSTR, NOT, and DOG have underperformed in 2025. Additionally, transaction volumes for both TON and its mini-apps are falling.

On a positive note, USDT’s large transaction volume share rose from nearly 50% to over 80% in May, despite fewer overall transactions. This indicates some activity but isn’t enough for a recovery.

The ecosystem needs a catalyst to boost interest. The recent partnership with Elon Musk’s xAI has sparked some excitement, leading to a brief price increase. However, for any rise to be sustainable, long-term adoption must improve; otherwise, TON and its mini-app tokens may continue to decline.

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