SUI vs. SEI: Why is One Dropping While the Other is Rising?

The Federal Reserve kept the rates unchanged as per many expectations, which was expected to boost the investors’ confidence. While the tokens like Jito & Raydium are leading the top gainers, Story continues to drop with an elevated volume. The crypto market is never short on surprises, and the recent performance of two trending altcoins, SUI & SEI, is a perfect example. But what’s causing the opposing movements? Let’s break it down!

Why is SEI Price Rising?

SEI, the native token of the Sei Network, has been gaining serious momentum in 2025, network activity and network expansion playing a major role. The TVL of SEI has surged past $3 billion, recording a massive rise from $715 million. Additionally, daily active addresses on the network have grown from 61,000 to 260,000, which is a clear signal of growing adoption and utility. Besides, Sei’s decentralized exchanges have seen volumes rise to $640 million, while stablecoin supply—primarily USDC—has ballooned to over $200 million, boosting investor confidence. 

On the charts, SEI broke out of a long-term corrective pattern and has displayed huge room for growth. 

The daily chart of SEI suggests growing bullish momentum as the price is holding the ascending support. The MACD is about to undergo a bullish crossover, while the RSI is displaying a bullish divergence after rebounding from the lower threshold. With this, the SEI price is believed to rise above $0.2 and secure the resistance at $0.21. With this, the probability of the formation of ‘w-shaped’ patterns could become viable, and hence, the neckline range between $0.25 and $0.27 could be the next target. 

Once the SEI price rises above this range, the token may experience a 40% upswing and enter the crucial resistance zone between $0.39 and $0.4. 

Why is the SUI Price Falling?

On the other hand, SUI, the token of the Sui blockchain, has faced significant downward pressure in recent weeks. The main reason behind the drop is the decrease in the open interest and the coiling bearish sentiment. This indicates the traders are closing positions and moving to the sidelines. Unlike SEI, SUI has dropped below key support levels and moving averages that led to holding above the $3 to $3.5 resistance zone. 

As seen in the above chart, the SUI price is repeating the previous pattern, where the prices remained stuck within a falling wedge. The token withstood a Death cross within the wedge that dragged the levels down by more than 25%, reaching the support of the wedge. Currently, the price is already testing the support and another Death cross; the token may break the support. On the other hand, the CMF has been juggling within a narrow range around 0 since the start of the year, indicating no major money inflow. 

Therefore, if the SUI price survives the current condition and recovers above $3, then it may secure levels above $3.22. Hence, by validating a breakout above the wedge, the SUI price may begin a fresh bullish wave. Until then, the bearish clouds may hover over the rally.