I see Ethereum trading with hesitancy as ETF outflows and technical weakness stir up a tense market mood. In the past week, the ETH price climbed 6.8%, grabbing the attention of profit-takers who are quick to pounce on every spike. The sell-off is spurred by $107M flowing out of ETH ETFs, painting a picture of deepening institutional caution.
Add to it the Fear & Greed Index at a low 26/100 and ETH’s inability to reclaim its 30-day SMA at $3,800, and you get a cocktail of macro jitters and technical resistance that’s hard to ignore. Ethereum price movement is set on a knife-edge as traders monitor Thursday’s CPI numbers for a possible game-changer in sentiment.
On-chain waves, as per SoSoValue, reveal how ETH’s story has flipped over the past month. We’ve seen total net assets hover at $22.48B while net flows swung sharply, with $107.18M pulled just yesterday. These massive outflows suggest that institutional players are not just hedging but actively rotating out of ETH amid uncertainty.
Spikes in daily net inflow and aggressive drops mirror a tug-of-war that’s leaving price action jittery. Combined with falling ETF assets, this persistent negative inflow hints at sustained selling pressure that could test major supports if sentiment worsens.
The action on ETH’s chart feels like a thriller. We’ve got price capped under the 30-day SMA and forming a classic lower high below $3,800. Zooming in, the technicals flash caution: a bearish MACD crossover with the MACD line at -165.53 trailing the -155.17 signal.
This isn’t just a minor shuffle, it’s often a precursor to short-term selling waves. Meanwhile, the RSI sits near the oversold threshold around 54.12, suggesting that sellers are temporarily exhausted but not entirely out of the game. ETH’s price support at $3,532 (61.8% Fibonacci) will be the stage everyone watches. If bears break through, expect a rapid move down to $3,326 (78.6% Fib) as stop-losses trigger.
That being said, if price holds above $3,532, relief rallies could carry ETH back toward $3,652 or even $3,800, but a straight-up reversal seems less likely unless ETF flows rebound and Thursday’s CPI throws a positive surprise. Look for a decisive move within the next three trading sessions as volatility peaks around these technical levels.
Ethereum leans bearish in the short term due to MACD crossover, ETF outflows, and a weak RSI. Sustained selling can bring price nearer to $3,326 if $3,532 fails.
A sharp rebound in ETF inflows, RSI relief, or a favorable CPI report could ignite a quick bullish bounce above $3,652, with aggressive buyers returning.
Expect a potential test of $3,326 support or attempt at $3,652 resistance within 3 days, depending on ETF flows and macro sentiment.
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