Ethereum Breakout Looms: Whales Piles Up in Anticipation of Big ETH Price Surge

• The wider altcoin market, led by memecoins, has signaled a bullish breakout soon amid ongoing trade war negotiations.

• ETH/USD has been following a similar fractal pattern in the ongoing macro bull run to the 2020/2021 cycle.

Ethereum (ETH) price has stabilized around $1,583 in the past three days. The large-cap altcoin, with a fully diluted valuation of about $192 billion and a 24-hour average trading volume of about $8.52 billion, has hinted at a potential bullish rebound after slowing down capitulation in the past seven days.

Moreover, the gold price retrace in the past 24 hours has accelerated cash rotation to the highly oversold crypto market, which has established itself as a reliable alternative investment to the highly volatile stock market that is engulfed by short-term uncertainties.

Ethereum Whales on a Shopping Spree

On-chain data shows a sharp uptick of whale activities seeking to accumulate Ether from centralized exchanges in the last few days. For instance, a whale wallet linked to Metalpha has withdrawn 29k Ether, worth nearly $49 million, from the Binance exchange since April 1. 

Another whale investor has withdrawn 46,577 Ether, worth about $97.26 million, from Gate.io Since February 15. Another whale investor has withdrawn 10,091 ETH, worth about $18.8 million, from Bybit since March 12.

However, the overall demand for Ether by institutional investors, led by U.S. spot ETH ETFs, has remained low. Already, Galaxy Digital has deposited 62,181 ETH, worth about $100 million, to different exchanges in the past six days.

ETH Price Analysis

In the weekly timeframe, Ether’s price, against the U.S. dollar, has been bleeding since mid-December 2024. Most importantly, Ether has been bleeding to Bitcoin since August 2022. With both ETH/USD and ETH/BTC heavily oversold, a rebound may happen in the near future catalyzed by robust fundamentals.

In the daily timeframe, ETH/USD has been forming a potential reversal pattern, characterized by a symmetrical triangle. As a result, a consistent close above the established falling logarithmic trend will trigger a rally toward $2.1k ahead.

However, a strong correction below $1,500 in the coming days will result in further capitulation potentially towards $1,290.