
Dogecoin’s blistering rally is finally taking a breather—but the market might be misreading this slowdown. After a week of sharp gains fueled by ETF buzz and renewed whale accumulation, the DOGE price has slipped into a tight consolidation zone, triggering doubts about whether momentum is fading. Yet beneath the surface, derivative positioning, on-chain flows, and liquidity trends show a very different picture. The rally may have cooled, but the ingredients for a renewed upside push are still firmly in place—and traders may be underestimating what comes next.
The biggest jolt to market confidence came from the GDOG ETF. After launching with high expectations, inflows collapsed 80% overnight, plunging from $1.8M to just $365K. Total assets reached only $2.16M by day two, confirming that institutional demand isn’t rushing in as fast as early narratives suggested.
This sharp drop reflects the fragility of meme-coin interest in regulated markets. Investors are treating DOGE ETFs as speculative instruments rather than long-term holdings, and the lack of sustained inflows serves as a reminder that excitement can fade just as quickly as it appears.
Despite the highly anticipated debut, DOGE is still struggling to gain traction on the charts, holding just above the crucial $0.15 level. The price action remains muted, reflecting cautious market sentiment as traders wait to see whether the ETF will translate into meaningful demand. While the initial buzz brought a brief lift, the lack of sustained buying pressure shows that Dogecoin still needs stronger catalysts to break away from its current consolidation.
The short-term price action of Dogecoin displays the rising strength of the bulls, specifically after the breakout above the descending trend line. It has been trading within a rising parallel channel in the 4-hour chart, forming consecutive higher highs and lows. However, the momentum is about to fade as the RSI has displayed a bearish divergence along with a probable bearish crossover of MACD. WIth this, the DOGE price is believed to face a 6% to 8% pullback and test the trend line that could act as a base, preventing excess loss.
On the other hand, if the DOGE price manages to sustain within the channel, the bearish trajectory could be squashed, activating the targets at $0.16.
Despite the slowdown and collapsing ETF inflows, Dogecoin’s underlying data tells a more resilient story. On-chain metrics continue to show quiet accumulation rather than panic, with whale activity steady and exchange reserves drifting lower. While price remains stuck near $0.15, the absence of aggressive selling suggests the downturn is sentiment-driven, not structural. If DOGE can maintain support and broader risk appetite stabilizes, this accumulation phase could fuel the next attempt at a breakout.
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