Cardano (ADA) Price Rebounds, but This One Resistance Could Trigger a 35% Recovery

Cardano (ADA) price has surprised the market by gaining more than 11% over the past week, even as the ecosystem continues to grapple with recent controversy surrounding its treasury and governance discussions. While the debate has created uncertainty among investors, it has done little to stop buyers from accumulating the token after its sharp decline.

However, the short-term recovery only tells part of the story. Despite the recent bounce, the price reached $0.174 with a modest 2% gain over the past 24 hours; ADA remains down roughly 35% over the past month and has lost a significant portion of its value over the past year. The latest rally has pushed the token back toward $0.17, but it is still well below the crucial $0.235-$0.240 resistance zone that previously acted as a major support level.

The coming sessions could therefore prove decisive. If bulls manage to reclaim this key resistance, ADA could recover a larger share of its monthly losses. But if the rally stalls below it, the recent rebound may end up being just another relief bounce within the broader downtrend.

ADA Prices Test Crucial Resistance at $0.24

Buyers stepped in aggressively as the ADA price dropped strongly from $0.24 to the lows around $0.16, which was accompanied by a spike in trading volume. Since then, the price has been trading within a small ascending parallel trend, producing a series of higher lows and highs. The rally is gaining momentum as the sentiment improves, with buyers attempting to regain control after weeks of heavy selling. 

The RSI has rebounded from oversold territory but remains below the neutral 50 level, indicating that buying momentum is improving but has not yet shifted decisively in favor of bulls. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram is becoming less negative, showing that bearish momentum is fading, although a bullish crossover is yet to occur. For now, the short-term trend favors further recovery as long as ADA remains within the ascending channel. But the real confirmation will come only if buyers can push the price above the $0.235-$0.240 resistance zone, which could open the door for a larger recovery and help the token recover a significant portion of its recent monthly losses.

What’s Next for the ADA Price Rally?

ADA’s recovery is encouraging, but bulls still have a major hurdle to clear. The $0.235-$0.240 zone, which previously acted as support, is now the key resistance that will determine the token’s next move.

A decisive breakout above this level could pave the way for a rally toward $0.26-$0.28 later this month and improve the outlook for the end of the quarter. However, failure to reclaim this zone may trigger renewed selling pressure, with $0.16-$0.15 emerging as the next key support area.

For traders, confirmation is more important than anticipation. The recovery has started, but reclaiming $0.235-$0.240 will be the signal that ADA is moving beyond a relief rally and toward a broader trend reversal.