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Cardano (ADA) Price Holds Ground Amid EU Tariff Threat, Analysts Eye $1 Breakout

Published by
Yash Jain

In the past 48-hours, Cardano price faced rejection at the channel’s upper border, coinciding with renewed trade pressures. As, Donald Trump’s announcement of a 50% tariff on the European Union, effective June 1, has reignited concerns.

Despite this looming threat, ADA’s price has remained stable, indicating that the market has adjusted to such sentiments, with investors showing less volatility. Some experts even suggest that ADA’s current consolidation pattern may lay a healthier foundation for a potential breakout toward the $1 range.

Additionally, this week, Messari released its Q1 report, highlighting some positive metrics despite Cardano’s financial challenges. The report indicates that the community remains resilient, focusing on long-term growth and stability. Keep reading to know more.

Analyst Says Cardano Price Aims $1

Cardano’s price has been caught in a lengthy consolidation phase within a falling channel, largely influenced by ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and other countries. This trade climate pushed ADA price down to the $0.50 mark in April.

However, a turning point came in mid-April when ADA began to recover, climbing to the upper boundary of the channel and reaching $0.85 in May. This rebound was fueled by a decrease in trade tensions, particularly after the UK signed a significant deal.

However, recent tensions with EU resurfacing has left many investors worried, but knowing the threat ADA price has not fallen beneath key EMA’s, and until it doesn’t break key supports the bullish views remain intact.

More to its price, a deep analysis of this week has been at the center of attraction.  According to technical analysis from Dan Gambardello, the Cardano price action displays a markedly different pattern compared to its previous bull market cycle. 

He says, unlike the last cycle where ADA experienced a single dip after exiting the bear market before going parabolic, the current consolidation shows a more methodical approach with repeated pump and consolidate phases.

This extended consolidation period is a “coiling” effect. He feels that Cardano price could smash $1, if it meets all bullish conditions.

Gambardello notes that this coiling behavior is not limited to Cardano price. The extended sideways movement has allowed for healthier price support levels, in other altcoin’s too.

Additionally, Analyst Dan Gambardello uses Ethereum as a roadmap for altcoin performance. He noted that ETH is currently testing a multi-cycle trend line that has historical importance for the entire altcoin sector.

Ethereum breakout would cause an altcoin move. It would be a more favorable time for tokens like Cardano crypto that have consolidated and formed technical bases in this extended build-up phase.

Cardano’s Report By Messari: Total Stablecoin Market Cap & ADA’s Treasury Balance Increased

In a recent report, by Messari said that Cardano’s performance during Q1 2025 was tough. It revealed that its quarter was filled with challenges. As its native token, ADA price, took a hit, which led to a decline in its circulating market cap.

Despite these hurdles, Cardano still made significant strides in governance, like the activation of the Plomin Hard Fork was the biggest accomplishment.

Interestingly, the report further highlighted that, while the ADA price volatility affected its most of the market sentiment, but the commitment to staking still remained remarkably stable. 

The stats showed that the total staked ADA saw only a slight decrease of 1%, settling at 21.6 billion ADA. 

In contrast, some metrics performed exceptionally like the stablecoin market, messari said that it expanded by 30% to reach a market cap of $30.1 million. This increased was largely driven by the popularity of fiat-backed options like USDM, IUSD, USDA, and others.

Additionally, Cardano’s treasury balance showed resilience, increasing by 5% quarter-over-quarter to 1.7 billion ADA. However, the U.S. dollar value of the treasury took a hit, dropping 19% to approximately $1.1 billion.

Overall, while Cardano faced financial challenges, its governance advancements and stable staking commitment highlight the community’s ongoing dedication to the platform’s future.

FAQs

Can ADA really hit $1 soon?

Possibly. Analysts like Dan Gambardello suggest ADA is in a “coiling phase”—a bullish consolidation that may lead to a breakout. However, a confirmed move above $0.85 with strong volume is key before targeting $1.

Can Cardano (ADA) break out of the current consolidation and surpass the $1 mark? If so, when?

A breakout is possible if bullish conditions align, potentially leading to a $1 mark. While exact timing is uncertain, some analyses point to this happening in the coming days or weeks.

What are the broader implications of the U.S.–EU trade tension on the crypto market in general?

Renewed trade tensions can increase market volatility, as seen with Bitcoin’s recent dip. Crypto markets often react to such macroeconomic events, acting as risk assets.

Is now a good time to accumulate ADA, or should I wait for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown?

Some analysts see the current consolidation as a healthy foundation for growth, suggesting accumulation. However, it’s wise to consider personal risk tolerance and market indicators for confirmation. Sources

Yash Jain

Yash is a crypto analyst specializing in price analysis, predictions, and in-depth research reports. He combines technical indicators with on-chain data to uncover market trends and potential breakouts. His sharp insights help readers navigate the crypto market with confidence. Whether it’s Bitcoin or emerging altcoins, Yash breaks it down with clarity and precision.

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