Bitcoin RSI Hits Lowest Level in 20 Months: Is a Rebound Imminent?

The crypto market experienced significant turbulence with a billion-dollar loss within a day, leaving crypto assets in a precarious position. Bitcoin’s current value of approximately $26,000 reflects a complex interplay of factors that have triggered widespread selling among traders.

One pivotal element contributing to this uncertainty is the ongoing Grayscale versus US SEC case, which revolves around the fate of a Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). The lack of clarity surrounding this case has added to the overall market confusion. Notably, SpaceX’s recent decision to reduce its Bitcoin reserves by $373 million has further intensified this climate of uncertainty. Additionally, the declaration of bankruptcy by China’s Evergrande group has exerted additional downward pressure on the market.

Bitcoin Remains Resilient

Despite grappling with these challenges, Bitcoin managed to stage a recovery, edging its value back to $26,171, thereby displaying a modest daily increase of almost 1%. Nevertheless, the concern looms large due to a weekly decline of over 10%, which has triggered apprehension among investors.

Mixed Sentiments in the Market

Market sentiment is mixed, with oscillators signaling a ‘buy’ sentiment while moving averages lean towards a ‘sell’ sentiment. A crypto analyst named El crypto prof notes that the recent sell-off has driven Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) to its lowest level in over 20 months, suggesting potential overselling. Historical correlations between BTC’s RSI dropping below 30 and subsequent price movements show rebounds ranging from 28% to an impressive 60%, indicating a potential future rebound.

Read More: Here’s How Bitcoin Price Could React If Bitcoin ETF Gets Green Light

Experts advise investors to watch the critical support zone around $25,000, as a breach below this level could lead to further losses. Amidst ongoing regulatory developments and external trends, Bitcoin’s future rally could be fueled by factors like potential ETF approval and the upcoming 2024 halving event. Analysts and traders remain vigilant for signs of the market’s next major move.

Sceptics Shall Always Remain

However, not all analysts share the optimism. Peter Brandt expresses doubts about Bitcoin’s recent rebound, labeling it as “very suspicious.” Brandt’s caution suggests a potential bearish trend ahead.

As August exhibited relatively stable price fluctuations, it’s worth considering that September historically has not favored Bitcoin’s prospects. With these intricate dynamics at play, the pressing question emerges: Will history repeat itself in the coming month? The answer remains elusive, nestled within the midst of these uncertain times.