Price Analysis View Non-AMP

Altcoin Season 2025: Is the Capital Rotation Already Underway?

Published by
Shrishesh Tanksalkar

Today’s downturn has left crypto marketers wondering about the near future of the industry and the possibility of an altseason. Amidst all the hustle and bustle, analyst Cryptex Guy in an X post talks about whether we will see the altseason again. 

In this write-up, we take you through the proponent’s thesis, on the altcoin season, BTC dominance, stablecoins, Ethereum’s stance, and more. 

BTC Dominance + Stablecoin Mix:

The BTC.D + USDT.D + USDC.D combo chart shared by the analyst highlights how much money sits outside altcoins. Historically, this metric approaching the 74–75% red zone has been a trigger point for sharp altcoin rallies due to rejection from that overhead resistance.

Currently sitting at 70.87%, a final push into that zone, followed by rejection, as seen in the past, could mean a capital rotation into altcoins. Notably, a break below the ascending cyan trendline would confirm the end of Bitcoin’s capital dominance run, making way for a full-fledged Altseason, similar to the mini alt-run we’ve seen in Q4 2024.

BTC Dominance on Lower Time Frame:

On the 4H chart, BTC Dominance has broken out of a rising wedge, a classically bearish pattern for BTC.D. Since altcoins are inversely correlated to BTC.D, this breakout could lead to a short-term relief rally in altcoins.

Now, BTC.D appears to be retesting the wedge’s upper boundary. Should this retest be rejected, we can expect a quick 5–10% upside candles on strong altcoins. This aligns with Ethereum’s recent $1000+ surge, which injected $138B into the altcoin ecosystem.

Ethereum’s Retest & the Bigger Altseason Picture

On higher time frames, Ethereum has reclaimed a significant multi-year trendline, known as the Bull-Bear boundary. A successful reclaim would boost investor confidence and could catalyze sustained inflows into altcoins.

The altcoin market is also forming a bullish structure. If this pattern holds, it would set the stage for Altseason 2025, with many altcoins potentially seeing 2–3x gains from current levels. This scenario mirrors the patterns from 2023 and 2024, when capital rotation into alts delivered broad market upside.

Also read our Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2025, 2026-2030

FAQs

When can we expect the next Altseason to begin?

If BTC.D gets rejected from the 74–75% zone and breaks the trendline, Altseason could commence in late 2025, as historical patterns and technical structures align.

What role does Ethereum play in triggering Altseason?

Ethereum acts as a capital gateway. Its successful reclaim of major support boosts market-wide confidence, triggering rotations into other Layer 1s and alt sectors.

Is it too early to enter altcoins now?

Currently, altcoin prices are still suppressed, offering early entry opportunities. As BTC.D approaches resistance, the risk-to-reward ratio for alts becomes increasingly favorable.

Shrishesh Tanksalkar

Shrishesh is a versatile writer with 2+ years of experience in cryptocurrencies. An engineer turned storyteller, this selective introvert is a wannabe biker on weekends.

Recent Posts

Can Bitcoin Bulls Withstand the Re-awakening of Satoshi-era Whales?

Bitcoin (BTC) price has been rejected by two subtle and important resistances in the past…

July 5, 2025

Trending Alternative Crypto to Dogecoin (DOGE) Set to Turn $650 into $65,000 in 4 Months

Few tokens have stirred as much chaos and charm as Dogecoin. What started as a…

July 4, 2025

Top 2 Cryptos Under $0.10 to Buy in July, Both Tipped to Double

With July heating up, the spotlight is shifting to lesser-known tokens under $0.10 that offer…

July 4, 2025

Bitcoin Sets the Macro Tone, But Lightchain AI Sets the Fire That Smaller Investors Are Running Toward

Bitcoin continues to set the macro tone for the cryptocurrency market, influencing broad investor sentiment…

July 4, 2025

Ethereum Holds Its Rank, But Lightchain AI Holds the Heat With Tactical Movement Into Final Presale Stage

Ethereum continues to hold its rank as a leading blockchain platform, maintaining strong developer engagement…

July 4, 2025

Analysts Predict Major July Explosion for Neo Pepe Coin ($NEOP) Among Best Crypto Meme Coins

Crypto Presales Heat Up—High-Utility Coins Dominate As July unfolds, crypto markets are abuzz with growing…

July 4, 2025