XRP vs SpaceX: Which Investment Has More Upside in 2026?

Crypto analyst Zach Rector compares XRP and SpaceX as investment opportunities in June 2026, focusing on potential return on investment (ROI). 

While he makes it clear that this is not financial advice, his goal is to examine the numbers side-by-side and decipher which asset appears to have the better upside from current valuations. 

XRP at $10 vs SpaceX at $15 Trillion, What the Math Says

At the time of the analysis, XRP was valued at roughly $70–77 billion, while SpaceX was valued at around $1.75 trillion following its IPO. Analyst compares the two investments based on the returns they could generate from current levels.

According to him, a move to $10 per XRP would push its market cap to around $620 billion, delivering roughly a 9x return for investors. For SpaceX to offer the same return, its valuation would need to grow to nearly $15 trillion.

While XRP would need to add about $550 billion in market value to reach that target, he argues this is not impossible. Bitcoin and Ethereum have both reached similar valuations in previous market cycles. He notes that many investors once doubted XRP could even surpass a $150 billion or $180 billion market cap, yet it eventually did.

For that reason, he believes XRP reaching a $600 billion-plus valuation appears more achievable than SpaceX growing into a $15 trillion company, making XRP the more compelling opportunity from an ROI perspective.

SpaceX’s Massive Head Start

Notably, SpaceX is already one of the most valuable companies in the world.

The company has transformed the aerospace industry through reusable rockets, satellite internet via Starlink, and government contracts. Many investors believe SpaceX could become one of the defining companies of the next decade.

However, because its valuation is already measured in trillions, future gains become harder to achieve.

To match XRP’s projected 9x return:

• SpaceX would need to add more than $13 trillion in market value.
• It would become worth more than the world’s largest public companies combined.
• It would need to create an entirely new level of corporate valuation.

That doesn’t mean it’s impossible. It simply means the growth hurdle is much higher.

Risk vs Reward

XRP offers higher potential upside but comes with greater volatility.

SpaceX offers exposure to a proven business with strong revenue growth, but investors are buying in after much of the company’s explosive growth has already occurred in private markets.

Many analysts note that early venture capital investors captured the biggest gains in SpaceX before the IPO. Retail investors are now entering at a higher valuation.

XRP vs SpaceX: Side-by-Side