The crypto world is buzzing with excitement following the recent green light for Ethereum ETFs. This is a landmark decision and could reshape the markets just like our trusty Bitcoin ETFs did recently.
But now the dust is settling, and people are beginning to ask the bigger questions.
As market watchers and investors work to understand these developments, insights from popular crypto analyst ‘Virtual Bacon’ on social platform X offer a comprehensive look at the expected effects and strategic responses to this event.
Here’s what they have to say.
Though approved in May, the Ethereum ETF required an additional nod through the S-1 filing before trading could begin. All eight issuers, including prominent financial entities such as BlackRock, Fidelity, Bitwise, ARK Invest, VanEck, Invesco, Franklin Templeton, and Grayscale, have recently completed their filings. This progress means the ETF will soon be available on major U.S. brokerages like Fidelity and Robinhood, expanding its reach and potential impact.
To gauge the Ethereum ETF’s impact on ETH’s price, it’s crucial to examine inflow and outflow estimates. Galaxy’s research indicates that ETH’s demand ratio compared to BTC stands around 31%. Given that $15 billion flowed into BTC ETFs, ETH ETFs could see an annualized inflow of approximately $11.8 billion. However, this doesn’t ensure an immediate price surge for ETH. Initial dips might occur due to outflows from Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust, which currently holds $9 billion in assets.
ETH and BTC have unique supply and demand dynamics. Approximately 27% of ETH is staked and unlikely to move, compared to 0% for BTC. Plus, 11.4% of ETH is locked in bridges and smart contracts, compared to 1.6% for BTC. This means about 14.4% of ETH is effectively removed from circulation, vs 8.7% for BTC. So, we can say that these locked supplies could make ETH more prone to price increases due to ETF inflows.
Short-Term Price Predictions for ETH
BTC’s ETF launch saw an initial 15% dip followed by a 58% surge within 65 days. ETH might mirror this trend, potentially experiencing a 10% drop initially before climbing 58%, possibly reaching $5,300 by late September. ETH could achieve these levels between September and December, aligning with medium-term forecasts of hitting $6,000 by year-end.
The outlook for ETH in 2025 is promising, with price predictions ranging from $5,000 to $16,000. This optimism is fueled by favorable regulatory developments, advancements in Ethereum Layer 2 solutions, increased staking demand, and the influence of the ETF.
Investors should also explore undervalued altcoins within the Ethereum ecosystem, such as liquid staking providers (Lido, Rocket Pool, Ankr), Ethereum infrastructure (Ethereum Name Service), Layer-2 solutions (ZK Sync, LayerZero, Arbitrum, Optimism), and DeFi platforms (Maker, Uniswap, Aave, Compound).
In short, the ETH dynamics are strong. The market is poised for greater highs once ETH ETFs start trading; investors are advised to leverage this opportunity wisely.
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