News View Non-AMP

Why Altcoin Season Isn’t Here Yet?

Published by
Nidhi Kolhapur and Anjali Belgaumkar

Altcoin season has not arrived yet, and expert Benjamin Cowen has explained why in his latest video. Typically, alt season is defined as a period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin, both in USD terms and when measured against Bitcoin itself. Historically, this has only occurred after a significant drop in Bitcoin dominance, something that hasn’t been seen in the current cycle.

This kind of rally was clearly seen in 2017 and again from late 2020 to early 2021. But since then, no true alt season has taken place as Bitcoin has been dominating the market. Infact, this time, Bitcoin has been gaining strength, and most altcoins have been slowly dropping, both in USD and especially when measured against Bitcoin.

2017 vs 2021 vs Now, What Has Changed?

The analyst used a key chart to track this, comparing the total altcoin market (without Bitcoin and stablecoins) to Bitcoin’s market cap. In both the 2017 and 2021 alt seasons, this chart dropped to 0.25 before altcoins began to rally. Right now, it’s still around 0.31, which means that altcoins are still too high compared to Bitcoin. So a full altseason is unlikely to start just yet.

Also its important to note that during past cycles, rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the end of quantitative tightening (QT) played a major role in kickstarting alt season. But this time, fewer rate cuts have been made, and QT is still ongoing, although at a slower pace. 

As a result, less risk is being taken in the market and altcoins are struggling to gain attention and liquidity. 

Bitcoin’s Dominance Is Crushing Altcoins

Also, many altcoins were seen declining even while Bitcoin has been rising. Some short-term rallies have happened, but most altcoins are far below their highs from earlier this year. So, even though a few coins have done well, the overall altcoin market is still weak.

This cycle has often felt different, but the same pattern is playing out, just more slowly. Altcoins still have not fallen to the usual bottom level compared to Bitcoin. Until that happens, a proper alt season is not expected. It is possible that the bottom could be reached by September or November, based on past trends.

The Fed’s Moves Could Make or Break Alt Season

For altcoins to truly rally, more rate cuts and a full stop to QT will probably be needed. Monetary conditions have remained tight, and market liquidity has continued to favor Bitcoin. Until the broader economic and policy environment shifts, and until altcoins drop further in value relative to Bitcoin, the arrival of alt season will likely continue to be delayed.

FAQs

How is the crypto market doing today

As of today, June 28, 2025, the global cryptocurrency market cap is around $3.41 trillion, showing a slight decrease of about 1.66% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin is trading around $107,327, while some altcoins like XRP have seen gains.

What is altcoin season in the cryptocurrency market?

Altcoin season is a period when altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) significantly outperform Bitcoin, both in their USD value and when compared directly against Bitcoin. It often occurs after Bitcoin’s dominance decreases.

What typically happens when altcoin season occurs?

During altcoin season, capital rotates from Bitcoin into altcoins, leading to rapid and significant price increases for a majority of alternative cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s market dominance usually declines as altcoins gain market share and investor interest.

Will Bitcoin’s price fall during an altcoin season?

Bitcoin’s price doesn’t necessarily fall during altcoin season; it often consolidates or rises more slowly. The key is that altcoins outperform Bitcoin, meaning their gains are much larger, and Bitcoin’s dominance decreases as money flows into them.

Nidhi Kolhapur and Anjali Belgaumkar

Nidhi is a Certified Digital Marketing Executive and Passionate crypto Journalist covering the world of alternative currencies. She shares the latest and trending news on Cryptocurrency and Blockchain.

Trust with CoinPedia:

CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:

All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

Sponsored and Advertisements:

Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.

Recent Posts

Monero (XMR) Price Breaks $307 Resistance, $327 Target Incoming?

Monero price just logged an impressive 5.7% surge to $311.86 in the past day, decisively…

October 19, 2025

PUMP Price Rallies, Can Bulls Sustain the Trend or Is Resistance Ahead?

Pump.fun (PUMP) is making headlines as it snaps back from its month-long slump, recording a…

October 19, 2025

Analyst Says The Best Crypto To Invest In Now is This $0.035 DeFi Token and Not Ethereum (ETH), Here’s Why

Analysts have scanned the crypto market lately. These experts have pinpointed Mutuum Finance (MUTM) as…

October 19, 2025

From Shiba Hype To Pepeto Staking Advantage: Best Crypto To Buy Now For The Next Run

Remember why you opened your first crypto chart, the spark, the what if, the idea…

October 19, 2025

Which Crypto To Buy Today For Long-Term: MUTM to Beat SHIB

Investors have scanned the crypto market for the best crypto to buy now, especially amid…

October 19, 2025

Stablecoin Supply Hits Record $304.5 Billion—Is a Massive DeFi and Bitcoin Rally Next?

The crypto market is regaining momentum as Bitcoin (BTC) price trades near $107,000, while top…

October 18, 2025