The much-anticipated altcoin season still feels like a distant dream, and many crypto enthusiasts are left wondering: when will it finally arrive? Altcoin seasons typically kick off when investors start shifting capital from Bitcoin into top altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), sparking widespread market rallies. But right now, the signs are pointing in a different direction.
Ethereum’s underperformance and a sudden shift in market dynamics have left altcoins struggling. Could this be a sign of a longer wait?
Keep reading to find out why the altcoin season is on hold, and what could finally trigger the next rally.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has pointed out a major shift in the market: instead of flowing into altcoins, capital is now moving into stablecoins. This suggests that investors are playing it safe and avoiding the higher risk of altcoins due to ongoing market uncertainty.
As a result, altcoins are struggling to gain any meaningful momentum.
Why Are Stablecoins on the Rise?
Since Donald Trump’s election win, the supply of stablecoins has surged. Tether’s (USDT) supply has increased by $20 billion, reaching $140 billion. Meanwhile, USD Coin (USDC) has grown by $17 billion to reach $52 billion. Tether has also become the third-largest buyer of U.S. Treasuries, investing a huge $113 billion in 2024 alone.
With the growth of stablecoin adoption, we could soon see more liquidity flow back into the crypto market. Additionally, crypto czar David Sacks has emphasized that stablecoins are becoming a key part of the U.S. economy. With a $227 billion market cap, stablecoins are expected to keep growing in the months ahead.
Ethereum has historically been the spark that ignites altcoin seasons. In previous bull runs, ETH led the way, bringing attention and capital to the broader altcoin market. But right now, Ethereum is struggling. Its price has remained flat, and traders are now focusing on other Layer 1 projects and speculative tokens instead.
Crypto trader Picolas Cage pointed out that altcoins won’t recover unless Ethereum sees a rebound. In past bull markets, ETH led trends like ICOs, DeFi Summer, and the NFT boom. Without a similar growth driver now, altcoins are stuck in a holding pattern.
Global events have also played a role in slowing down the crypto market. A recent flash crash triggered by new tariffs from Donald Trump
According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, Bitcoin’s market dominance must exceed 70% before an altcoin season can begin.
While Bitcoin’s dominance is rising, it’s still not high enough. In past altcoin seasons, the shift has started once Bitcoin dominance hits 71%, followed by a pullback. Until then, the market remains in a holding pattern, with altcoins waiting for their moment to shine.
The market may be quiet now, but when the tides shift, the next altcoin season could be just around the corner.
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