News View Non-AMP

VanEck Says $1 Million Bitcoin Is The Base Case — Here Is What The Data Says

Published by
Debashree Patra

Bitcoin is slowly regaining momentum as investors once again look toward the $100,000 milestone. After dropping from its late-2025 high of $126,000, BTC is now trading near $81,000, supported by improving sentiment, growing enthusiasm around the U.S. CLARITY Act, and strong institutional demand. 

Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw massive $2.44 billion inflows in April 2026 alone, marking the strongest month since the 2025 peak. On May 6, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $46.33 million, marking the fifth consecutive day of net inflows. 

VanEck’s Matthew Sigel Predicts $1 Million Bitcoin

Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, made one of the boldest predictions yet, saying Bitcoin reaching $1 million is now the firm’s “base case.”

“Bitcoin going up for us is the base case. We think this asset is going to reach a million dollars over the next several years,” Sigel said during a CNBC interview.

To explain his outlook, Sigel compared Bitcoin to the video game industry. He noted that gaming was once seen as something mainly for kids, but today it is mainstream across all age groups, even mentioning that Elon Musk plays video games. According to Sigel, Bitcoin is following a similar path toward mass adoption.

“People don’t quit Bitcoin,” he said, pointing to growing interest from younger investors and the fact that central banks are now beginning to hold Bitcoin reserves. He described Bitcoin as a long-term “mega trend,” although he warned that the asset will remain highly volatile along the way.

Sigel believes Bitcoin could potentially reach $1 million within five years if adoption keeps accelerating.

On-Chain Analysis Points to $93K Next

According to CryptoQuant researchers, Bitcoin’s next major target could be $93,000 due to a key CME gap. BTC recently surged close to $83,000 as the total crypto market cap jumped to $2.73 trillion. Moreover, a sharp 12% crash in oil prices and growing optimism around a possible U.S.-Iran peace deal also added fresh fuel to the crypto rally.

Debashree Patra

Fun-loving and cheerful, a passionate blockchain and crypto writer who knows no boundary…connect if you share the same passion. With 10+ years of writing experience, I am a Crypto Journalist by chance, exploring, and learning all the dynamics of the sci-fi action-filled crypto world. Currently, focusing on cryptocurrency news and price data. With a passion for research and challenging my capabilities, I am slowly getting into the crypto arena to bring new insights every day.

Recent Posts

From Tokyo To Washington, Bond Yields Are Breaking Records

Bond yields surged across the world this week, with Japan's 10-year yield climbing to 3.08%,…

September 27, 2026

Bitcoin Price Prediction For October: One Level Stands Between Rally And Reversal

Bitcoin has been climbing steadily since July, but one chart analyst thinks October could finally…

September 27, 2026

$83 Million In Stolen XRP From Bitget Hack Moving On-Chain

More than $83 million worth of XRP stolen in the Bitget hack is now being…

September 27, 2026

Bitget Asks THORChain to Block Hacker Address, Protocol Says No

The Bitget hack has sparked a new debate over crypto’s biggest promise of decentralization. After…

September 27, 2026

Bitcoin Supply Shock Debate Grows as IFP Turns Bullish

Bitcoin is seeing two bullish signals at once. Bitcoin supply that hasn't moved for more…

September 26, 2026

Stock Tokenization Could Be Blockchain’s Amazon Moment

If Bezos were starting today, the argument goes, stock tokenization could be his first big…

September 26, 2026