“Trump’s Insider” With 100% Win Rate Opens $109M Short, Is Crypto Market Crashing Again?

A Mystery Wallet With a Perfect 100% Win Rate Just Opened a $109M Short on Bitcoin and Ethereum. Known for predicting major geopolitical events, the wallet is rumored to be linked to Trump’s son.

Every time this wallet moves, the market follows, and traders are now bracing for another possible crash. 

$109M Short on Bitcoin and Ethereum

An insider wallet tracked on Hyperliquid has opened two huge short positions at the same time. According to the data, the trader is short 1,000 BTC worth $67 million at an entry price of $67,992, currently showing an unrealized profit of $956,131.

At the same time, the wallet is short 20,000 ETH worth $41.2 million at $2,131, with an unrealized gain of $1.35 million. Altogether, the total short exposure is about $109 million, with no long positions open. 

The wallet has made over 200 trades with a reported 100% win rate, not luck, but either genius or someone very close to Trump. 

Many in the crypto community suspect this wallet belongs to someone in Trump’s inner circle, with some even pointing to a family member.

Same Wallet That Predicted the Iran War and Made $75 Million

This wallet did not just appear out of nowhere. It has been on the radar of on-chain analysts for months now.

The trader first made headlines by opening over $1.1 billion in shorts on BTC and ETH just before Trump announced 100% tariffs on Chinese imports, earning an estimated $160–200 million as Bitcoin dropped sharply. 

Later, the trader reportedly predicted the Iran conflict, making around $75 million in profit. Now, he seems to be betting on new U.S. strikes on Iran over the weekend, targeting bridges and power plants, as mentioned by Trump. 

Arkham Intelligence calls him a “Trump insider whale,” though there is no clear proof that he had prior knowledge of Trump’s plans.

The April 6 Deadline

Here is where it gets really interesting and concerning for the market.

On April 2, Trump gave a primetime speech saying he would hit Iran “extremely hard” in the next two to three weeks, mentioning strikes on bridges and power plants. That speech pushed Bitcoin down over 3% to about $66,309, wiping out a short rally.

Looking ahead, US markets reopen Monday, April 6, the same day Trump’s 10-day pause on strikes ends. 

Just before this, a mystery wallet opened a $109 million short position, likely betting that Trump will announce new military action over the weekend and that markets will react the same way they always have.