Ripple vs SEC Lawsuit: April 16th Could Make or Break XRP – Here’s Why

April 16 could be a game-changing day for XRP. A U.S. court will deliver its final ruling on the SEC lawsuit against the cryptocurrency, and many in the crypto community believe the outcome will be positive. With the U.S. government now more supportive of crypto under Donald Trump Donald Trump Donald Trump is an American former president politician, businessman, and media personality, who served as the 45th president of the U.S. between 2017 to 2021. Trump earned a Bachelor of science in economics from the University of Pennsylvania in 1968. Trump won the 2016 presidential election as the Republican Party nominee against Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton while losing the popular vote. As president, Trump ordered a travel ban on citizens from several Muslim-majority countries, diverted military funding toward building a wall on the U.S.–Mexico border, and implemented a family separation policy. Trump has remained a prominent figure in the Republican Party and is considered a likely candidate for the 2024 presidential election President ‘s leadership, expectations are high.

But if XRP wins, how far can its price go?

XRP’s 300% Surge in Four Months

XRP’s price has surged since the political shift in the U.S. On November 5, 2024—the day the crypto market turned bullish—XRP was trading at $0.5044. Since then, it has skyrocketed by 329.16%.

November 2024 alone saw a massive 281.7% surge. However, 2025 has been a mix of gains and losses. In January, XRP jumped by 46%, only to drop by 29.3% in February. So far in March, it has edged up by 1.51%, but price swings have been sharp.

This month started strong, with XRP climbing 37.05% in the first two days. But on March 3, it dropped by 18.70%. Between March 4 and 6, it attempted a recovery with an 8.93% gain, but the rally didn’t last. From March 7 to 9, XRP fell from $2.6004 to $2.1353. As of now, its price sits at $2.1706.

Trump’s Pro-Crypto Moves Could Help XRP

The Trump administration has made clear moves to support crypto, including:

• Setting up a crypto task force under the SEC to create clearer regulations.
• Appointing pro-crypto figures to key leadership roles.

Even the SEC seems to be shifting its stance. On February 27, 2025, it filed a joint stipulation with Coinbase Inc. and Coinbase Global Inc. to dismiss an enforcement action against them. Yet, the SEC has remained silent on its battle with XRP, leading to speculation that the Trump administration might step in to end the lawsuit.

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Can XRP Reach $10—or Even $100?

If XRP wins its case, analysts believe it could quickly reclaim its all-time high of $3.84. But that may only be the beginning. A legal victory could pave the way for XRP’s inclusion in the proposed U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve and the launch of a spot XRP ETF.

According to Bloomberg, there’s a 65% chance the SEC will approve a spot XRP ETF this year. Some analysts predict that if XRP becomes part of the U.S. reserve, its price could soar to at least $10.

The most optimistic forecasts even suggest that if momentum continues, XRP could reach $100.

With the court’s decision just weeks away, the crypto market is watching closely. If XRP wins, it could mark a new chapter for the cryptocurrency—one that could send its price soaring.